Farzan Sabet Profile picture
Nov 27, 2017 10 tweets 9 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
New @nytimes piece captures recent wave of #Iran|ian nationalism, particularly among non-principlists (-conservatives), that seasoned analysts have been noting for some time. But there are some important caveats to consider. nytimes.com/2017/11/26/wor… 1/
Article starts w/ beheading of Mohsen Hojaji by #ISIL. Then, bizarrely, article attributes cause of nationalist wave to #Trump & #Saudi. ISIL carried out terrorist attack on #Tehran!!! It is arguably larger structural factor that triggered wave since 2014, but largely ignored! 2/
One piece of evidence given to prove #Trump & #Saudi have caused #Iran nationalist wave is popularity of #Soleimani & #Zarif. Only one problem: High favourability numbers for both predate Trump election & significantly heightened Iran-Saudi tensions iranpoll.com/publications/j… 3/
Another criticism is use of anecdotal, un-systematic, man-on-the-street/elite interviews to make broad claims. Thin evidence indeed. If I tried to do same in a journal article, it would be shot down in peer-review. NYT seems to give #Iran journalist much wider latitude. 4/
Conceit of article is idea that urban, middle-class and pro-#US & #Iran|ian is now nationalist/bought into state propaganda b/c of #Trump & #Saudi. Reality is that nationalist, US-skeptical & anti-#Arab sentiments always been there, but understated by Western media tropes. 5/
Article also cites as evidence of #Iran gov capitalising on new nationalist wave things that, w/ maybe one exception, go back decades. For me being a #90skid in Iran meant going to military gun shows and frolicking on playgrounds made of missile replicas. 6/
Finally, article also fails to address how high a priority foreign policy is for #Iran|ians & how much public opinion actually matters for foreign policymaking. 7/
So NYT article: 1. Misstates origins of #Iran nationalist wave 2. Uses very poor evidence 3. Falls back on lazy Western media tropes about Iran & 4. Doesn't address actual implications of nationalist wave. BUT... 8/
That's not to say there isn't an #Iran nationalist wave, that moving forward #Saudi policies won't exacerbate, & (incoherent) #Trump policies won't strengthen anti-#Americanism. Just not sure how prevalent or enduring this wave will be. 9/
Other major question is to what extent #Iran state, particularly principlists (conservatives), will be able to capitalise on it. In long-term, may turn out to be quite consequential, but something that for now should be confined to anecdotal tweets rather than NYT pieces. 10/10

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Farzan Sabet

Farzan Sabet Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!


0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy


3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!