ODELL Profile picture
Nov 27, 2017 6 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
#Tether is/was:
- created to bypass KYC/AML laws & the banking blockade on exchanges that don't comply.
- a centralized stop-gap solution until connections to fiat are unneccesary.
- most likely holding reserves in an offshore bank account.

#bitcoin $btc
2/ @Tether_to cannot defend themselves b/c they risk gov't intervention. Making their bank account(s) public puts them at greater risk of being shut down & assets seized. They also can't acknowledge back room deals between the exchanges & them, that puts the exchanges at risk.
3/ The similarity between Tether & the online sportsbooks/casinos that have had to route around banking blockades for years is obvious. Both need to use sketchy banking practices to maintain their businesses or face government intervention.
4/ The way Tether's business is setup, it is impossible to tell if they are fraudulent or honest. It is a centralized service & you have to trust them. The main guys behind it are #bitcoin heavy hitters, who have made a lot of $$, & will make a lot more if Tether doesn't fail.
5/ Their incentives are in the right place. If Tether fails they will be hurt the most. I still think the biggest risk to Tether holders is govt intervention rather than fraud. They seem to think so as well, that's why they changed their ToS & reduced transparency.
6/ They will lose a lot more than $700M if Tether fails. I expect them to unofficially maintain the USD/USDT peg on Kraken & Bitfinex barring government intervention.

I still don't think you should own any Tether. Too much risk. Just think fraud claims are unfounded.

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More from @ODELL

Aug 13, 2018
Couple of thoughts re: bitmain IPO.

(1)Bitmain will want to make their holdings look as impressive as possible, so they will probably try to pump bch (maybe the other alts too) before the IPO. They have been trying (and failing) to corner the market for the last year.
(2a) The added transparency for the IPO has put them in a vulnerable position. They are overexposed to bitcoin cash and now their competitors know. I have theorized in the past that the main reason bch hasn't been 51% attacked yet is due to fear of retaliation from bitmain.
(2b) So with that said, my thought now is bitmain's competitors have an extra incentive to attack the bitcoin cash chain to disrupt the IPO. On top of that, bitmain is probably less likely to retaliate given the extra attention the IPO brings.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 4, 2018
My take re: $SYS pump on Binance

1. Many Binance users were using a 3rd party trading bot w/ API access.
2. Bot was compromised.
3. Malicious actor set high SYS sell orders, then used compromised accounts to pump SYS price into them.
4. Same method used w/ $VIA in March.
So most likely neither binance or $SYS were hacked. It was the 3rd party trading bot, which was either an inside job or was compromised. My guess is inside job.

This is a risk users take when they trust a trading bot & its operator with access to their exchange funds/account.
Looks like binance is going to rollback the trades made with the compromised trading bot. They don't have to do this in my opinion, fault lies on the user. Binance & CZ should be applauded here on their user friendly response.

support.binance.com/hc/en-us/artic…
Read 4 tweets
Jun 16, 2018
EOS launch has been a complete joke, not surprised.

Classic Larimer, launch with bugs, shit incentives, and broken security assumptions.
Also, if this is true, it is absolutely hilarious. Talk about a stupid design decision.

Not only can you only get EOS by buying from an existing holder, b/c it's DPOS instead of PoW(where you can mine), but you need them to make a wallet for you. 🤦‍♂️

Oh yeah, and while we are at it. The network can confiscate your EOS if you don't make a transaction within 3 years. I'm sure they'll do a conference call before they take your money though, don't worry.

I honestly don't know where he comes up with half this shit.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 13, 2018
"The authors of the new 66-page paper do not have emails or documents that prove that Bitfinex knew about or was responsible for price manipulation...This method is not conclusive"

nytimes.com/2018/06/13/tec…
I've said this countless times before, the fact that Tether supply increased during market declines doesn't prove manipulation. That's exactly what should happen if Tether is working as designed.
Prices fall -> users sell for USDT -> USDT price increases as a result -> More Tether issued to bring price back down to $1 peg
Read 6 tweets
Jun 10, 2018
Wow. Tezos foundation is holding contributions hostage unless contributors submit to KYC/AML...

May be used to prevent US citizens from claiming their XTZ.

There was no KYC at the time of ICO(a year ago).

Wouldn't be surprised if this results in two chains at launch.
Interesting, looks like Tezos cofounder @ArthurB(murbard on reddit) is saying he isn't on board with the decision.

"Not my call."

reddit.com/r/tezos/commen…
I already questioned @ArthurB & @breitwoman's security assumptions with Tezos but this move will make their network even less secure. Every tezos holder at launch will have a passport registered with both the foundation & a third party company...
Read 7 tweets
Feb 12, 2018
While everyone is on the topic of mining using hydroelectric because of the recent WSJ piece, worth mentioning that's what the majority of China based mining ops have been using for years now. Excess hydro is insanely cheap.

#bitcoin $btc #cryptocurrency
2/ Source: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_c… which pulls most data from iea.org

Also, there's been a couple of articles highlighting Chinese mining ops that are relevant:

chinafile.com/multimedia/pho…

theweek.com/captured/71873…

aljazeera.com/indepth/inpict…

qz.com/1026605/photos…
3/ "The global "capital of bitcoin mining" is China's Sichuan province, thanks to its abundance of hydropower plants and some of the world's cheapest electricity. Bitcoin mines there can gross millions per year"
Read 11 tweets

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