BREAKING: North Carolina congressional map struck down as partisan gerrymander. #fairmaps
Map struck down was North Carolina’s second congressional map of the decade. First was invalidated as racial gerrymander. Lege redrew but required new map to maintain 10-3 GOP advantage. #fairmaps 2/
And as the conflux of racial and partisan gerrymandering claims in the state show, much of the bias in the North Carolina maps (as elsewhere in the South) came from diluting the influence of African Americans. #fairmaps 5/
Court has given NC legs until 1/24 to adopt remedial plan (must be filed with court by 1/29). But also asking parties to propose special masters to redraw map if court rejects any lege plan. But, of course, state likely to ask SCOTUS to stay. #fairmaps 7/
Reminder: What happened in North Carolina almost perfectly fits the hypo offered by Justice Kennedy at argument in the WI partisan gerrymandering case - which even Justice Alito seemed to think would be a problem. #fairmaps 8/
More partisan gerrymandering action ahead next week when the Pennsylvania Supreme Court hears a challenge to that state's congressional map (along with NC one of the most aggressive of the decade). brennancenter.org/legal-work/lea…#fairmaps 9/
Partisan gerrymandering returns to SCOTUS today as the North Carolina legislative defendants are due to file their jurisdiction statement asking the Justices to hear the case. We’ll post it here 👇when it is available: brennancenter.org/legal-work/com…#fairmaps#ncpol 1/
The NC legislative defendants are asking SCOTUS to overturn the ruling of a three-judge panel striking down North Carolina’s congressional map as a partisan gerrymander. That ruling here: brennancenter.org/sites/default/…#fairmaps#ncpol 2/
What ordinarily happens next under the Supreme Court rules is that the plaintiffs have 30 days (until Nov 1) file a motion asking SCOTUS to decide the case without oral argument. The plaintiffs could waive the right to file such a motion, but that’s rare. #fairmaps#ncpol 3/
BREAKING: Federal court rules that plaintiffs in North Carolina partisan gerrymandering case have standing to pursue claims (with one exception) and affirms earlier ruling that congressional map is unconstitutional. brennancenter.org/sites/default/…#fairmaps 1/
Decision is 2-1, with Judge Osteen dissenting. Majority opinion runs to 294 pages. #fairmaps 2/
Court says it has not yet decided whether to give the North Carolina legislature the opportunity to attempt to redraw congressional map, but says that if the NC lege wants to redraw map it needs to finish process by 9/17 at 5 p.m. #fairmaps 3/
So here’s one way to think of the differences over what it would take for Democrats to win a majority in 2018.
Imagine that there is a 10.6 foot wall. Democrats somehow need to get over that wall to get a majority. #fairmaps 1/
Now, one way to do so would be to build a 10.6 foot ladder - or better yet an 11 foot one because a bit of extra is helpful in these things. #fairmaps 2/
But some think, we’ll, maybe you won’t need a 10.6 foot ladder because it’s been raining a lot and I think there are probably going to be some mudslides that push up against the wall. Ds may only need a 7-8 foot ladder. #fairmaps 3/
Democrats could win a majority in the U.S. House this November, but thanks to gerrymandering, doing so would require a near unprecedented win in the national vote. @lauraroyden and I explain in today's NYT: nytimes.com/2018/03/25/opi…#fairmaps 1/
For more detail, here's the study that @lauraroyden, @yurijrudensky, and I wrote looking at the impact of extreme gerrymandering on the 2018 midterm. #fairmaps 2/
We find that to be favored to win back a majority, Democrats would need to win the national vote by nearly 11 points (i.e., 55.5% to 45.5%). That would be a larger margin than either the 2006 D wave or the 2010 R wave. #fairmaps 3/
BREAKING: SCOTUS partially stays new North Carolina legislative maps. Thomas & Alito would have stayed in entirety. Ginsburg & Sotomayor would denied stay in entirety. #ncpol#fairmaps 1/
Stay by SCOTUS is as to special master's revision of state house districts in Wake & Mecklenburg counties. #ncpol#fairmaps 2/
The issue in Wake & Mecklenburg counties was that the NC legislature altered districts that were not found to be racial gerrymanders or that abutted districts that were racial gerrymanders. #ncpol#fairmaps 3/
This week will be a momentous one on the redistricting front - with action in legal challenges to two of the worst congressional maps of the decade: Pennsylvania & North Carolina. #fairmaps 1/
In PA, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court will hear oral arguments on 1/17 in a challenge seeking to have the state's congressional map invalidated as a partisan gerrymander under state law. #fairmaps 2/ brennancenter.org/legal-work/lea…
Although several other ongoing cases in federal court challenging various maps under federal law, the Pennsylvania case is the first major case to raise a challenge under state constitutional law - which makes it worth watching for several reasons. #fairmaps 3/