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The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
@sethjlevy
Jan 29, 2018 • 13 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
1/ I hadn’t understood the AG succession plan. @EricColumbus opened my eyes. I haven’t been able to get it out of my head. It adds a meaningful layer to one of my principle theories. Trump nominated Rosenstein intentionally and with the full understanding Sessions would recuse.
2/ To quickly reprise, @realDonaldTrump wants to get a clean bill of health. Who gives it to him and how they arrive at the conclusion is key. That’s why Mueller has investigated everything including Trump’s finances. Trump wants him to.

3/ Trump isn’t a victim of Sessions recusal. He nominated Rosenstein after Sessions said he’d recuse in his Senate testimony. Then knowing an Obama appointee was in charge he fired Comey which would obviously lead to a SC. He set it up this way purposely. cnn.com/2017/06/13/pol…
4/ A key to my theory is that, if Trump felt threatened by the Russia investigation & wanted to obstruct it, he never would have appointed Rosenstein. Republicans controlled the process. He could have nominated anyone including a loyalist to be Deputy AG. Just as Obama had done.
5/ This is the fundamental reason the “Trump obstruction” narrative is so flawed. From the outset Trump nominated a bipartisan selection like Rosenstein, confirmed 94-6, and put his future in his hands. However you could argue “maybe originally but since then Trump got nervous”.
6/ That’s where the details of the AG succession comes in. If at any point Trump was nervous or wanted to thwart the investigation he could’ve. As @EricColumbus explains, if Sessions resigned Trump could appoint Pruitt AG the next day and he would serve as AG for up to 9 months.
7/ Let’s review the logic of why Trump would in theory obstruct. The investigation threatens Trump or his admin so he’s trying to stop investigators. He fires Comey but that only makes things worse so then he tries to fire Mueller. The problem? Neither act stops anything.
8/ What could’ve thwarted the investigation? A Sessions resignation. The one thing Trump didn’t do? Ask Sessions to resign. Sessions said publicly he was willing to resign. If he had Pruitt could’ve immediately replaced him and Rosenstein would’ve been cut out of the loop.
9/ In this scenario Trump would’ve simply been fixing a problem created by Sessions both in his recusal and resignation. A simple fix. However this would’ve actually changed the leadership and the nature of the investigation. I’ve joked Trump is a really ineffective obstructor.
10/ The reality is Trump wants this investigation & he wants it conducted by people that will be credible when they say Trump didn’t collude or obstruct. It’s why I believe he will interview with Mueller. Trump didn’t do anything & he wants someone credible to say so.
11/ An interesting aspect to all of this will be the contrast. How differently Obama era officials and Obama himself will deal with what I believe is the upcoming second special counsel that will investigate the Hillary email investigation and the actions of DOJ/FBI during 2016.
12/ I’ll end it here. Point is, for all of you worried about Mueller and Rosenstein, they wouldn’t be where they are with the free hand they have if Trump didn’t want it this way. Period. So again you either #TrustTrump or you think you know better. How’s that been going?

/end
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More from @sethjlevy

The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Aug 30, 2018
1/ It’s almost September. We’re in the home stretch of the midterms and working class Americans are feeling the positive affects of the Trump economic boom. In a survey performed by Harvard-Harris 85% of blue collar workers see their lives headed in the right direction.
2/ These blue collar workers see that things are better off for themselves, 55%, and a whopping 88% say their children will have a better future than they will. It’s not just the economy that is booming, its confidence.
3/ This group of blue collar workers tend to lean Democrat (35-31%) But the see Republicans are doing a better job of helping blue collar Americans (39-36%).
Read 8 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Aug 15, 2018
1/ A thread on how Trump will ensure Republicans hold the House in 2018. I say how because it’s as much about the operational and tactical as it is about the message. The special elections are over and Republicans won 8/9.
2/ 89% is a pretty good percentage considering how much money, time, energy and significance that Democrats invested in each of these races. realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/…
3/ It’s not just about the percentage. It’s about how Trump and the RNC tipped these races in the favor of the Republican.

Shhh it’s a secret. Don’t tell anyone.

I’ll give you a hint. It starts with an R.

Yup. You guessed it. Rallies!
Read 10 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Jul 27, 2018
1/ Gonna write a quick thread cuz I have no time but this is so crucial.

Read the pics. This is what corruption and manufactured evidence to justify surveillance that is outside the appropriate function of FISA looks like.
2/ The called him Source #1 and never revealed his bias. In fact they only shared his positives. They manipulated the court.
3/ The truth was that DOJ knew of Steele’s bias. Ohr knew. FBI reports reflected they knew. But Ohr himself had a hidden bias, his wife worked for Steele’s employer.
Read 8 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Jul 22, 2018
1/ Excellent article by @ByronYork.
Other than Manafort, Mueller has handed off all of his major cases that would seem to help make a collusion case. Seemingly undercutting the idea he will make such a grand claim against any American (Trump).

washingtonexaminer.com/news/why-is-mu…
2/ The fact that Mueller publicly indicted 12 Russian intelligence officers indicated he has no intention of ever prosecuting anyone. If he had intended to, he would have sealed the indictments and attempted to secure at least one of the defendants. The charges were political.
3/ So why did Mueller indict the 12 intelligence officers publicly? It was absolutely political. A momentary defense of FBI/DOJ. An attempt to validate the Russian interference claim. Will it stand up to the test of time? I don’t think so.
Read 6 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Jul 14, 2018
1/ There was no further evidence put forward that Russians hacked than was previously known.

Yet Rod jumps in the pool. If the speculation is right that this was all cover after the fact and the spearfish was a non Russian entity or a CIA operation then Rod has trapped himself.
2/ Because if later it can be shown that it wasn’t the Russians it makes the last 2 years of investigation being managed by Rod look like a railroad and a fake.
3/ Rod has now done two things. He has cleared “any American” (Trump) of knowledge or participation AND he has put his chips in on the “Russians (Putin) did it” theory.
Read 7 tweets
The Reckoning 💥 Profile picture
Jun 17, 2018
1/ Here’s a question. If POTUS (Nixon) was required to turn over “private” recordings made in the WH shouldn’t FBI agents be required to turn over “private” work related messages?
2/ This is where Huber and age and jury comes in. In the IG report it refers to a denied request to receive “private” emails but the texts clearly show using those coms was tactical and designed to avoid oversight. Huber is very likely to subpoena those records.
3/ Given how bold the corrupt actors were on work devices the odds are those other messages are going to be explosive. So what kind topics may get revealed? Well the heart of the conspiracy to engineer the soft landing that let Coney conclude “no reasonable prosecutor”. Guccifer.
Read 6 tweets

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