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Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
@ejmalrai
Apr 9, 2018 • 10 tweets • 11 min read • Read on X
There are no #Hezbollah at the #T4Airbase, only #Iranian. The military air base if also a base for Iranian guided drones that #Israel consider it is responsible for the trap, attracting its jets and causing the destruction of two of its F-16 +
ejmagnier.com/2018/04/01/not…
#Israel jets flew over Ghazeer (#Lebanon) at a very low altitude to avoid #Russia/n radars in an area where topography allows jets to hide. Inhabitants were terrified by the sound. Jets took altitude in the Bekaa for 3-4 minutes and launched its missiles+
#Russia imposed on #Israel to notify its Air movement over #Syria and the course of its jets if ever willing to enter the Syrian airspace. Israel believed Russia is informing Damascus to be prepared when knowledgeable about an Israeli violation.+
The course of the #Israel/I jets indicate the leadership was very afraid of being spotted by Russian radars. Pilots were very good in avoiding the radars and reveal their presence over #Lebanon not #Syria for few minutes only +
My sources are telling me: this is an #Israeli response to the Iranian trap. Therefore it is a hit and run ops, but also trying to please #SaudiArabia and drag #USA into an aggressive response against #Damascus: many birds in one stone +

#Iran usually respond through its allies. Therefore it is not excluded to see a missile from #Yemen fired against #SaudiArabia or another way to respond. ++
Read this is important:
#Russia told #Damascus that it has the full right to bomb "the Israeli source of fire (that could be Israel military airport from where the F-15 took off) behind the attack against the #T4Airbase". This means #Moscow is turning its back on #TelAviv.
For this evening UN security council meeting, #Russia advised its allies in #Syria to take extra precaution for a possible attack (which is not totally excluded). However, the #SyrianArabArmy is widely deployed over the country's geography: not easy.
#Ghouta is the cause of all this cos:
- it hurts so much #SaudiArabia to see its only proxies vanishing.
- #USA only hope to see #Damascus under fire:gone.
- even if no group on the ground can change anything, anti-Assad fear his next move: Quneitra.
Now you understand why #USA and #EU refuse to deliver - or to allow the Army to get from other nations like Russia - anti-air missiles to #Lebanon: #Israel needs a clear air space without danger to violate continuously.

Lebanon is the weakest link here.

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More from @ejmalrai

Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Oct 5, 2018
#Iraq: @AdilAbdAlMahdi was given total freedom to select his team in the future government, free from non-qualified individuals and non-corrupted candidates.
Of course, the new PM will have to take into consideration all political parties. These can present names of candidates +
If names are inadequate or considered unsuitable by @AdilAbdAlMahdi, he will ask for more names and again more names until he is satisfied. That was the deal.

The new PM @AdilAbdAlMahdi has reconciled with Nuri al-Maliki a couple of days ago. Al-Maliki was unhappy for his party (Da'wa) to lose the position of PM due to the #USA support to Haidar Abadi following his overt manifestation to "abide by US unilateral sanctions on Iran".
Read 4 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Oct 3, 2018
in #Iraq, for the first time since 2003, the #Shia #Sunni #Kurds and #Turkmen were all divided this time prior to the selection of the Speaker, the President and the Prime Minister.
#USA pushed for its own candidate/coalition (Moqtada-Abadi).

#Iran pushed for the unity of all coalitions, Shia, Sunni and Kurds, in an attempted to unite all & produce leaders accepted by all. Iran also worked to bring down the US candidate/coalition.

The world (including Iraq) didn't realise that "no larger coalition has been nominated".

The reason is simple: Iran wanted to save the face and honor of Moqtada, he who joined a lost coalition, so #Iran Soleimani cam "bring him back" to where he belongs

Read 8 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Sep 24, 2018
#Moscow: S-300 to #Syria in 2 weeks. #Israel will be limited to bombing #Syria from afar, coordinate any flight above #Lebanon and #Syria with #Russia hours before and #Damascus won't hesitate to bring down an #Israeli jet over #Lebanon and Syria.

This is a major blow to #Israel and #USA.

#Syria can also, potentially, bring down any hostile force in the air occupying #Syrian territory.

#Riussia, by delivering the S-300 to #Syria, needs to deliver protection system around it.

#Russia is hitting 2 birds (Israel & US) in 1 stone (S-300 to #Syria).

I don't think this is the only price #Israel will pay for the 15 Russian servicemen killed. More to come.

Adding: #Iran Bavar to #Syria

Israel omnipotence is coming to an end.

Read 4 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Sep 23, 2018
Listen 👂 please:
#Israel can't renounce on violating #Lebanon and #Syria airspace.
#Russia can't just wipe away the murder of 15 servicemen and its own reputation as a superpower
@PutinRF_Eng experience similar situation with #Turkey in 2015
1/+

#Israel has nothing to offer to #Russia and #Moscow has nothing to ask from #TelAviv. Airspace is closed, period.

So Israel will go and cry on Uncle Sam's shoulder: the magnificent @realDonaldTrump #USA
2/+

It is up to @PutinRF_Eng to rebuff #USA and #Israel and hold his ground firmly. I am aware of US lobby within #Russia but it is time to show the world that hegemony is over

#Moscow can ask for itself, for #Syria & substantial compensation for Russian families.

Time to pay 3/
Read 5 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Sep 21, 2018
The discussions and the maps offered by #Israel delegation to #Russia about the downing of the IL-20 was considered unacceptable & offensive by #Moscow. Moreover, the Israeli delegation complained about" #Iran's influence in #Syri, an argument the Russian have rejected.
#Russia also rejected the #Israeli claim that President Putin refused to talk to the Syrian president Assad. Israel propaganda aim to cover the deterioration of the relationship between #Moscow and #TelAviv
Remember what I said: The downing of the Russian IL-20 is all in #Israel disadvantage.

Now Israel is confused and no longer confident in what it is doing in #Syria and how to run its relationship with #Russia and #Turkey (following the Idlib deal).

Read 4 tweets
Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Profile picture
Sep 19, 2018
Look at the photo: No burning on the white container south of the destroyed factory indicating this is not a warehouse and no ammunition in it.
No whole on the ground and only 4 traces of missiles in the destroyed factory.
Also, look at the building north of the 155m factory destoryed. This indicates that #Israel didn't want to kill workers living in the building (still standing) and targeted the place at night when the factory was closed.
The white container souyth of the destoryed factory indicates that the last of the 4 missiles hit the target at least 70m away from the still standing white container.

This is a spare part gathering factory with no explosives or ammunitions in it.

Read 4 tweets

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