Thread by @ejmalrai

In few moments will share some information about the forthcoming war in #Syria.

1+/ The US/EU war on Syria is expected in the next 10 hours according to sources in #Syria close to decision makers.

All Syrian troops were ordered to empty their barracks and keep 5% presence only.

2+/ #USA and #EU may target - as expected - the Syrian Air Force (many dislocated and other spread but not flying), the central for command and control, all radars and known anti-air missiles, Ministry of Defence, Presidential Palace and other sensitive Syrian bases.

3+/ The #USA/#EU are drawing the attention t the gathering of forces in the Mediterranean. But information to the #Syrian command confirm gathering of forces and preparation for the strike are expected coming from al-Tanf, al-Hasaka, #Jordan, #Turkey and from the sea.

4+/ #Russia is hassling foreign war ships coming closer opposite the #Syrian coast to inform all these that this is a Russian operational area. However this Russian show of force doesn't change much because missiles can be launched from afar.

5+/ #Russia will deal with fired cruise missiles but not expected to bring down a large number, impossible for any superpower no matter how many anti-air missiles are deployed over a large territory like #Syria and coming from intensive fire power (#USA and #EU).

6+/ #Iran informed #Russia that any #israeli intervention means an #Iranian direct involvement in this war under the agreement of defence w/ #Syria. #Putin informed Netanyahu of the Iranian intension.

S.A. Khaminei met with the leadership of #IRGC and missile force units leaders

7+/ It is clear that #USA and #EU are not waiting for the @UN decision or approval. In #Syria, leadership believes the UN meeting served for stacking forces to gather their units and prepare their bank of objectives.

8+/ #USA and #SaudiArabia are very hurt of what happen in #Ghouta: nothing to do with "fake chemical attack" but due to the end of 20-30,000 jihadists shipped to the north of #Syria. These were the hope of US and Saudi to keep the menace on Damascus: #Russia destroyed this hope.

9+/ If this forthcoming battle on #Syria lasts only one night/day with hundreds of missiles, then it is ok.

But if it lasts more than 2 days, then the situation may go towards a wider unexpected confrontation.

The answer will be in #Daraa #Quneitra where it hurts the most.

10+/
I believe #Russia can't stand alone against this coalition because it is not looking for a wider war (WWIII) and the attack is not on #Russia territory.

However, #USA/#EU may attack tonight or tomorrow night. Attacking forces will try to destroy the Syrian Army. However...

11+/
However, in 2013, the #Syria Army was about to be defeated. In 2015, the Syrian Army was cornered in main cities and retrieved from most rural areas.

Those who rebuild the Syrian Army and injected 12,000-20,000 men expressed their readiness to inject 120K men if necessary.

12/12
The more @realDonaldTrump is willing to destroy #Iran's ally, the more influence #Tehran will enjoy in replacing the vacuum needed in #Syria so a secular non-jihadists government can prevail in the Levant and Takferee and their sponsors are defeated.

Forgive me for the length of my tweets.

I hope the Russian-American continuous contact reaches a compromise and stops the possibility of war on #Syria.