Quick reminder that May's priority will be staunching #Windrush, even if that incurs collateral costs on #Brexit
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Problem will come in next month, when HMG has to advance alternative plans for Irish dimension, but May finds herself less able to move Cabinet
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Javid makes sense as Home Sec in #Windrush context, but doesn't help Brexit agenda, having neither Rudd's vigour nor the same confidence of May (yet)
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Problem is compounded by likely raised demands from EU on EU citizen rights post-March 2019, just as HMG less able/willing to shift on basic 'hostile environment' approach
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For long time, May was able to use long HO experience as basic for political credibility, but now it's coming to bite her (as was always likely to happen)
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In sum, UK continues to see Brexit only through lens of domestic politics, to its cost
/end
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Possibly more for me than for you, let's try to pull this week together a bit:
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Let's start with the EU side
Having largely kept heads down during conference season, yesterday's Tusk/Varadkar presser demonstrated that EU is keeping the pressure on
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The tension seems to be between COM/EUCO and IE, as @pmdfoster explained well yesterday: IE making conciliatory noises, central EU bodies pushing EU integrity line
Back in Sept, there was much talk about this being a crunch point in the UK debate, as May would come under fire for Chequers and there would be scope for changes/realignments/whatever
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Certainly that first bit has happened, with numerous op-eds over the weekend and assorted fringe events (inc. yesterday's Johnson speech)
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