Nuclear policy, Asia, missiles, & space. Stanton Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Author of ‘KIM JONG UN AND THE BOMB’ (Hurst/Oxford)
Sep 26, 2018 • 20 tweets • 4 min read
Mahathir Mohammad at @CFR_org. First question on Chinese economic influence in #Malaysia. "Previous government borrowed too much money."
Says he explained to China that Najib was the problem and not Beijing. But now he's talking about payment pathways privileging Chinese SoEs over local contractors. "That is not good for us. Malaysian contractors have no role to play."
Sep 19, 2018 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
What's alluring about Yongbyon would be the limitation of tritium production, especially if verifiable. Of course, that's a far cry from what the 9/19 Pyongyang declaration suggests.
I'm maybe too cynical, but its inclusion in the declaration seems purely instrumental to incentivize the US to return to high-level talks/a second summit. It'll work in that sense.
Sep 16, 2018 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
PC building day with a friend today. (His PC.)
About to try and POST outside the case.
Aug 30, 2018 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
April 4, 1993: Bill Clinton and Boris Yeltsin chat about the North Koreans — "Do you believe that the younger Kim is having any influence here?" (Kim Jong Il was the "younger" Kim at the time.)
July 10, 1993 — Clinton reflects on Japan and the NPT.
Aug 29, 2018 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Oh my: "A source also noted that North Korea believes Trump made the same promise to Kim Yong Chol, a top North Korean official close to Kim Jong Un, at the White House on June 1"
So, it all makes sense now. Without it being put in writing, Trump gave KJU in Singapore (and possibly KYC) assurances that he'd do an EoW declaration; his advisors disagree. The bill has come due & admin split on paying up.
Some more insight on the mysterious Kim Yong Chol letter: Pompeo’s NK visit cancelled because of demands for immediate end-of-war declaration, NIS says english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_e…
The Moon administration is also on board with an EoW declaration by the end of 2018, with "complete denuclearization" to follow; KYC wasn't out of phase with the inter-Korean understanding here.
Aug 17, 2018 • 19 tweets • 5 min read
Okay. Getting around to reading now. A few assorted thoughts to follow. 1/x
Jul 13, 2018 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
For years, nonproliferation experts & #NorthKorea watchers have suspected the existence of covert uranium enrichment sites in the country. Now, for the first time, we've found one. Introducing the Kangson enrichment site: thediplomat.com/2018/07/exclus… (cc @ArmsControlWonk)
A few notes on this site: it's literally in a suburb of Pyongyang, close to Kim Il Sung's propagandized birthplace (Mangyongdae). It was "hiding" in plain site; it was not an underground site, contrary to earlier reports.
Jan 16, 2018 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
DoJ charges a former CIA officer with unlawfully retaining classified information. Arrested at JFK upon arrival from Hong Kong.
Too little, too late, but this is a counter-counterintelligence coup. (And another naturalized US citizen of Chinese origin implicated.) nytimes.com/2018/01/16/us/…
Sep 19, 2017 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Rush Transcript: Trump's full speech to the UN General Assembly bit.ly/2xbVerG
Reading the transcript and knowing that Trump was reading off a teleprompter, this is actually more conventional than we think.