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Katy Hayward Profile picture
@hayward_katy
Jun 7, 2018 • 7 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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5 slides on the #Brexit #Backstop for Northern Ireland/Ireland from @DPhinnemore and me.

1. Why there will be a Backstop in the Withdrawal Agreement.
Plus a synopsis of the EU and UK positions on the matter.

(Thread 1/6)
2. What is already agreed (green), agreed in principle (yellow), and not agreed (white) in the Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland in the draft EU Withdrawal Agreement.
ec.europa.eu/commission/sit…
2/6
3. What has been offered in writing from the UK government on this Backstop (Protocol).
Ref. the Technical Note on Temporary Customs Arrangements published today.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
3/6
4. If implemented, what could the EU's ‘backstop’ for NI/IRL (as per the draft Protocol) mean for trade and regulatory divergence between Northern Ireland (NI) and the rest of the UK?

4/6
5. If there is a backstop specifically for NI, how ‘hard’ could the Irish sea border become, according to various scenarios for the future UK/EU relationship?

5/6
6. Full slides to be available from @QPol qpol.qub.ac.uk
It's primarily an effort to explain the #Backstop in its current form & to contemplate implications of its implementation.

It's a work in progress. @DPhinnemore & I will publish a revised version as necessary!
6/6
The link to the slides online! Thanks @QPolAtQueens
qpol.qub.ac.uk/uk-withdrawal-…

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More from @hayward_katy

Katy Hayward Profile picture
Sep 26, 2018
A 'Greatest Hits' collection of slides on #Brexit & @BorderIrish

[for those covering the topic in weeks to come
& who might value a few prompt cards] 🤓

Inc. @BelfastAgmt, #crossborder #customs #backstop #chequers #BorderTech, NI party & public views.

qpol.qub.ac.uk/brexit-irish-b…
1998 Good Friday (Belfast) Agreement

2/12
Risks to peace process

3/12
Read 12 tweets
Katy Hayward Profile picture
Sep 13, 2018
Getting the feeling that there's too much #brexit #backstop bravado and too little sense?

Howsabout a 4 slide summary from @DPhinnemore & me setting out what we can be pretty sure of and what the UK/EU (dis)agree on - as viewed from Northern Ireland.

1/5
1st: a lack of progress on the Protocol on NI/IRL in the draft Withdrawal Agmt.
All these colours have to turn green (i.e. agreed in principle & text) before we get that Deal for exit day next March.

Note that red circle - backstop is intended to be trumped at some point.
2/5
2nd: a summary of what is agreed on and what is still missing re: @BorderIrish and NI.
Note the extent of Northern Ireland-specific arrangements.

You've seen a version of this a couple of months ago. Not much progress here since you last saw it.

3/5
Read 6 tweets
Katy Hayward Profile picture
Sep 12, 2018
A quick response to the ERG report on @BorderIrish.

First, to be welcomed:
- It has been published
- It underlines that a ‘hard’ border NI/IRL is ‘totally undesirable’
- It sees customs measures as not altering NI's constitutional position
- It makes no mention of drones.
1/
It interprets 'no hard border' specifically to mean 'no physical infrastructure at the border'.
This appears to mean no limit to checks + inspections away from the border & entailing huge administrative burdens for cross-border traders.
So ‘no hard border’ ≠ frictionless.
2/
Vision of what could be done post-Brexit rests on several assumptions:
no UK-EU tariffs; broad ‘equivalence’; continuation of privileges of EU membership (e.g. access to VIES); close bilateral cooperation with Ireland;
and unfalteringly deep UK-EU mutual trust.
3/
Read 5 tweets
Katy Hayward Profile picture
Aug 16, 2018
Govt technical notes on the effects of a No Deal #Brexit will be released from next week.

Here are the areas covered, reported by @alexGspence
& @AlbertoNardelli
(How long does it takes to scroll the list?):

Air services

Animal breeding

Aviation safety

Aviation security
...
...
Batch testing of medicine

Blood safety

Broadcasting

Chemicals regulation

Civil judicial cooperation

Civil nuclear

Climate

Commercial road haulage

Common Travel Area

Company law

Competition

Consumer protection

Cross-border gas trading

Customs and borders

Data
...
...
Driver licensing

Drugs

e-Commerce and geo-blocking

Electricity trading

Environmental standards

Equine movements

Erasmus

EU citizens in the UK

EU programmes and structural funds

EU space programmes

European regional development fund

European social fund
...
Read 8 tweets
Katy Hayward Profile picture
Jul 16, 2018
104 pages of the #Brexit #WhitePaper reduced to 10 slides.
Especially for those concerned for @BorderIrish, @BelfastAgmt,
& with more sense than time.

@DPhinnemore & I have scrutinised the WP in light of #JointReport commitments to NI/IRL & the UK's alternative #backstop.
1/10
A bit of context-setting (plus explanation of our imaginative colour coding).

The White Paper is in part an effort by UK govt to prove a NI-specific #backstop to be unnecessary. But remember Protocol for NI/IRL in the Withdrawal Agmt is abt much more than a customs border.

2/10
A reminder of where we are up to on that Protocol on NI/IRL in the draft Withdrawal Agreement.

With added stars 🌟 to identify which bits the White Paper attempts to address (or negate) most directly.

3/10
Read 11 tweets
Katy Hayward Profile picture
Jul 12, 2018
There is a lot that is very welcome & very good to see in the UK Govt #Brexit White Paper, from the point of view of Northern Ireland, North/South cooperation & @BelfastAgmt

Here's a wee thread of positivity

bit.ly/2LfeIQk

1/
There is repeated mention of the UK & EU 'meeting their shared commitments to Northern Ireland & Ireland', esp. in Exec Summary.

And it states the UK wishes to see a future UK-EU partnership 'honouring the letter & the spirit of the Belfast (‘Good Friday’) Agreement'.

2/
Evidence of honouring the letter of @BelfastAgmt comes primarily in relation to areas of north/south cooperation.

The Mapping Exercise of cross-border links conducted before the Joint Report of Dec'17 appears to be bearing fruit in the form of specific areas identified here.

3/
Read 11 tweets

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