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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
@nntaleb
Jun 21, 2018 • 6 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
1) Religious statements are not epistemic (scientific, literal) claims, but risk-survival heuristics under incomplete understanding. Populations with the right risk heuristics survive. Others perish.

2) Christianity has a built-in separation church/state.

#SkinintheGame
For those who don't get that Christianity is about church!= state
medium.com/incerto/we-don…
Harris @SamHarrisOrg: style & content of the charlatan.

1 Arguments entirely strawman; engages in mocking for effect.

2 Imposture "neuroscientist" when he is just a journalist/writer: would a university/lab hire him as junior faculty in *neuroscience*?
Christianity is not *only* 2000 y old. It is a mutation of >4K y of Mediterranean-Anatolian creeds, mysteries, and mythologies.
And its structure dates from the early Roman republic.

Atheism has no #Lindy to build on, continue and progress from.

The other problem with Charlatan @SamHarrisOrg is that he talks about "rationality" without even remotely knowing what it means.

Charlatan.

medium.com/incerto/how-to…
To summarize thread above, rationality is not about "beliefs" but actions, #SkinInTheGame. It is not scientific to evaluate raw "beliefs".

Gabish?

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More from @nntaleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Sep 29, 2018
Someone finally got it. They are all weak (both sides), insecure, lacking in grandor, and it’s a shame we are dragged into this s***t. America deserves much better.
This is not a job interview for auditor in chief at the local utility company. This is a lifetime apptmnt as a justice in the Supreme Court. It entails tough decisions. Very tough decisions.

Gabish?
The only person who showed spine inthe episode was Lindsey Graham. I hate him. He is a neocon. He is an interventionist. But he showed spine.
Read 4 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Sep 24, 2018
Where a 100% left wing crowd agreed with my message:

+ Localism, bottom-up
+ Statism is rent seeking by insiders, academics, & cronies
+ No enterprise without #Skininthegame
+ No abstract scale-free universalism

A different reaction than the one by the statist-militarist "left"
2) These "leftists" even agreed that":

The central state ends up being controlled by lobbyists

The tort system outperforms centralized regulation: EPA was owned by Monsanto (retrospective bribe/hiring former regulators)

Banks subjected to bailouts shd have government salaries
3) Many are actually IN FAVOR of having "pundits" inflict risks on others with impunity": those are members of the bureaucratic state.

Lawrence Summers @LHSummers EXPLICITLY opposed Skin in the Game in favor of "risk analysis" (debate in Las Vegas).

Read 4 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Sep 19, 2018
MISREPRESENTATION of STATISTICAL PICTURE

Journos @FranckGenauzeauare clueless & cherrypicking. Lebanon is currently greening, >150,000 additional Cedar trees at higher level plus rising treeline.

The planet is undergoing yuuge reforestation.

This demoralizes environmentalists
Pictures of Leb in 1900 vs today. Clear reforestation.

1) Cedar story is missing the success of new growth across the mountain.
2) @FranckGenauze has never heard of cherry picking/sensationalism/sucker alarmism.
Read 5 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Sep 16, 2018
I thought chess players would think in more than one step. Before arguing whether "fascists" should be museled,

How do you know if someone is "fascist" if you don't let him express his opinions?

...Or the best way to exercise fascism is to call people fascists to shut them up.
To answer the usual idiot bringing up Popper

muzzled
Read 6 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Sep 16, 2018
SUNDAY MATH RIDDLE, courtesy Romanian Mathematical Magazine.
OK, there is a theorem for the proof of convergence.
Herschfelds Convergence Theorem

mathworld.wolfram.com/HerschfeldsCon…
As to numerical tricks
Read 4 tweets
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Sep 14, 2018
Why did the Crisis of 2008 Happen?
My report *then*, to the Obama commission. All these talkers are still clueless about the reasons.

academia.edu/37409070/Why_D…
2) The very angry Youtube version of the paper.

The version of "Why did the Crisis of 2008 Happen?" on @researchersone:

researchers.one/article/2018-0…
Read 5 tweets

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