Trump Justice Dep't to federal court on Thurs: #FamilyDetention deters future migrants, just look at our statistics.

Professor @adambcox and me: Actually your statistics prove the exact opposite (and the policy is unethical)

justsecurity.org/58354/detentio…
#FamilySeparation
<thread>1/
Full picture with ALL the official data shows "devastating evidence" government’s claim is false. The federal court's putting a stop to #FamilyDetention in 2015 had no proven effect on migration rate.

Upshot: Trump-Stephen Miller policy wouldn't even achieve their stated goal 2/
Trump Justice Department cited in its brief to the court—three times—a 2015 declaration from an ICE official.

That declaration was discredited in prior court proceedings.

One expert: "offer no valid or reliable empirical"
Another expert: "unreliable and invalid" 3/
We also discuss deep ethical problems of #FamilySeparation #FamilyDetention.

"If [a big if] the Trump policy actually worked to deter migration, the policy would end up punishing the most legitimate asylum seekers, the people fleeing the most horror."
#KeepFamiliesTogether 4/4

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More from @rgoodlaw

Oct 7, 2018
1. My <thread>
WSJ SCOOP on Peter Smith's 2016 operation to get Clinton emails

● WSJ raises specter Smith was killed, not suicide
● Emails involve payments to “Russian students”
● 4+ financiers
● Mueller expanding interest in Smith group
● potential ties to Flynn/Trump
...
2. First, recall multiple reports that Peter Smith’s operation was potentially linked to Flynn/Trump campaign.

Ex-British security officer GCHQ Matt Tait (@pwnallthethings), who was approached by Smith, assessed Smith's "group was formed with the blessing of the Trump campaign."
3. Smith himself told @shaneharris—who broke the original story—of line of communication with Flynn, and Smith's emails “show that his small group considered Mr. Flynn and his consulting company…to be allies in their quest" for Clinton emails

WSJ 06/17:
wsj.com/articles/gop-o…
Read 10 tweets
Oct 2, 2018
<thread> Did Kavanaugh commit perjury telling the Senate Judiciary Committee and Committee staff that first time he heard of Ramirez allegations was in Sept. 23 New Yorker article?

Here's some evidence for (incriminating) and against (exculpatory) a claim of perjury...1/
Incriminating: This exchange with Sen. Hatch during Senate testimony on Thursday, Sept. 27:

HATCH: "When did you first hear of Ms. Ramirez’s allegations against you?"

KAVANAUGH: "In the last — in the period since then, the New Yorker story." 2/
Incriminating: In Sept. 25, 2018 interview with Senate Judiciary staff, Kavanaugh even more explicitly and more clearly denied knowing about the Ramirez allegation "before the New Yorker article publication on September 23rd." 3/

Read 7 tweets
Sep 29, 2018
Kavanaugh vs. Yale college friends, classmates (from both parties)

Excessive drinking, including to point of not recalling events?

"Kavanaugh portrayed himself in his testimony as enjoying a beer or two...but not as someone who often drank to excess during those years." 1/
“Nearly a DOZEN people who knew him well or socialized with him said Judge Kavanaugh was a heavy drinker in college. Dr. Swisher said she saw him 'very drunk' a number of times...freshmen year roommate, described his stumbling in at all hours of the night.” (NYT) 2/
Dr Swisher: “Brett was a sloppy drunk, and I know because I drank with him. I watched him drink more than a lot of people. He’d end up slurring his words, stumbling.” "It’s not credible for him to say that he has had no memory lapses in the nights that he drank to excess” WaPo 3/
Read 11 tweets
Sep 24, 2018
5 questions FoxNews did NOT ask Kavanaugh:

1. Kavanaugh: In H.S., I was focused on studying and sports and did and saw nothing outrageous in H.S. parties

Not asked: How do you then explain the apparently grotesque sexual (and alcohol) references in your Yearbook?

<thread>...
2. Kavanaugh: My Yale roommate James Roche (who said "believable" Kav engaged in Ramirez sexual assault) does not corroborate the incident.

Not asked: What about other Yale student told of incident at the time and says “one-hundred-per-cent sure” Kavanaugh named as perpetrator?
3. Kavanaugh: I hung out with wholesome and decent friends in HS

Not asked: What about your reportedly close friendship with the misogynist Mark Judge (whose own girlfriend of three years says he admits to engaging in a sexual assault)?
Read 6 tweets
Sep 23, 2018
<thread> on Dr Ford longtime friend's (Leland Keyser) statement to Senate:

1 discredits Grassley saying this "directly contradict(s)" Ford
2 undermines Kavanaugh defense of mistaken identity
3 unsurprising she doesn't recall party
4 adds to Ford’s credibility to have named her…
I’ll begin by saying opponents of Kavanaugh should not try to rationalize away Keyser’s statements.

I may not agree with the exact way he phrased/framed it, but @saletan is making these points:
Many legal commentators are—very correctly—pointing out it's flat wrong to say Keyser “denies,” directly “contradicts” or “refutes” Ford’s account

But it’s not just rightwing media, propagandist who have done this.

Recall Sen. Grassley’s letter and Sen. Lee's staffer’s retweet:
Read 7 tweets
Sep 22, 2018
3. I always recall the NYT piece—with major scoop of leaked McFarland emails—included this tantalizing nugget of a planned meeting with President-elect Trump later that same day. Raising Q of what Trump knew

nytimes.com/2017/12/02/us/… (@nytmike @SharonLNYT @ScottShaneNYT reporting)
4. All this lying to FBI by Trump team raises BIG question whether it was coordinated, which could seriously implicate Trump in actions that even @AlanDersh thinks is a crime for a President to commit.

Conspiracy to suborn perjury.

I wrote about it:
justsecurity.org/51399/cover-li…
5. Coordinated lying to FBI could implicate Priebus, McGahn.

Priebus, McGahn create 6-page memo which close observers know is FALSE. Memo is fiction saying Flynn lied to Trump team about Russia call. (Priebus himself was told of Rus sanction call in Dec '16 per McFarland email.)
Read 10 tweets

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