Nassim Nicholas Taleb Profile picture
Jun 30, 2018 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
What intellectuals don't get about MIGRATION is the ethical notion of SYMMETRY:

OPEN BORDERS work if and only if the number of pple who want to go from EU/US to Africa/LatinAmer equals Africans/Latin Amer who want to move to EU/US

Silver Rule in #SkinInTheGame

Gabish?
2) Controlled immigration is based on the symmetry that someone brings in at least as much as he/she gets out. And the ethics of the immigrant is to defend the system as payback, not mess it up.

Uncontrolled immigration has all the attributes of invasions.
3) As a Christian Lebanese, saw the nightmare of uncontrolled immigration of Palestinians which caused the the civil war.
& as a part-time resident of N. Lebanon, I am seeing the effect of Syrian migration on the place.

So I despise these virtue-signaling open-borders imbeciles.
4) Immigration requires sacrifice and skin in the game.
5) THE ANACHRONISTIC FALLACY

Injustice was done in the past with invasions, etc. But justice cannot operate without STATUTES of LIMITATIONS: we can't invoke the Pilgrims, w/o going back to Bronze Age migrations.

Arguments abt who did what >100 y ago are necessarily invalid.
6) The Anachronistic Fallacy, 2

You cannot flow today’s rules of morality backward in time & judge people THEN based on rules developed later.

Morality comes from customs (mores).

No law should be retroactive, something the bigoteers don’t get.
7) Example of why retroactive accountability fails as it leads to a chain of multiplicative grievances.

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More from @nntaleb

Sep 29, 2018
Someone finally got it. They are all weak (both sides), insecure, lacking in grandor, and it’s a shame we are dragged into this s***t. America deserves much better.
This is not a job interview for auditor in chief at the local utility company. This is a lifetime apptmnt as a justice in the Supreme Court. It entails tough decisions. Very tough decisions.

Gabish?
The only person who showed spine inthe episode was Lindsey Graham. I hate him. He is a neocon. He is an interventionist. But he showed spine.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 24, 2018
Where a 100% left wing crowd agreed with my message:

+ Localism, bottom-up
+ Statism is rent seeking by insiders, academics, & cronies
+ No enterprise without #Skininthegame
+ No abstract scale-free universalism

A different reaction than the one by the statist-militarist "left"
2) These "leftists" even agreed that":

The central state ends up being controlled by lobbyists

The tort system outperforms centralized regulation: EPA was owned by Monsanto (retrospective bribe/hiring former regulators)

Banks subjected to bailouts shd have government salaries
3) Many are actually IN FAVOR of having "pundits" inflict risks on others with impunity": those are members of the bureaucratic state.

Lawrence Summers @LHSummers EXPLICITLY opposed Skin in the Game in favor of "risk analysis" (debate in Las Vegas).

Read 4 tweets
Sep 19, 2018
MISREPRESENTATION of STATISTICAL PICTURE

Journos @FranckGenauzeauare clueless & cherrypicking. Lebanon is currently greening, >150,000 additional Cedar trees at higher level plus rising treeline.

The planet is undergoing yuuge reforestation.

This demoralizes environmentalists
Pictures of Leb in 1900 vs today. Clear reforestation.

1) Cedar story is missing the success of new growth across the mountain.
2) @FranckGenauze has never heard of cherry picking/sensationalism/sucker alarmism.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 16, 2018
I thought chess players would think in more than one step. Before arguing whether "fascists" should be museled,

How do you know if someone is "fascist" if you don't let him express his opinions?

...Or the best way to exercise fascism is to call people fascists to shut them up.
To answer the usual idiot bringing up Popper

muzzled
Read 6 tweets
Sep 16, 2018
SUNDAY MATH RIDDLE, courtesy Romanian Mathematical Magazine.
OK, there is a theorem for the proof of convergence.
Herschfelds Convergence Theorem

mathworld.wolfram.com/HerschfeldsCon…
As to numerical tricks
Read 4 tweets
Sep 14, 2018
Why did the Crisis of 2008 Happen?
My report *then*, to the Obama commission. All these talkers are still clueless about the reasons.

academia.edu/37409070/Why_D…
2) The very angry Youtube version of the paper.

The version of "Why did the Crisis of 2008 Happen?" on @researchersone:

researchers.one/article/2018-0…
Read 5 tweets

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