Has a) their vote counted and b) their voice been heard? 2/
The marginal leave vote has lead to a total overturn of normal UK Politics, fundamentally challenged the constitution, and led the entire machinery of Government to be almost entirely focussed on Brexit for more than 2 years 3/
Art50 has been triggered, Billions of £s have been spent, Whitehall reorganised, and negotiations with EU27 entered into. 4/
The entirety of UK Foreign and trade policy has be refocused, to the detriment of every other concern, on Brexit and its consequences 5/
UKGov has ignored every single concern of businesses, economists, lawyers, devolved governments, and allies and international partners in its pursuit of Brexit 6/
UKGov has also systematically ignored those who voted leave, EU27 Citizens in the UK and UK citizens in the EU27 in favour of attempting to implement the wishes of Leave voters 7/
So, has their vote counted? Yes, it already has, with largely unfortunate consequences for the UK. 8/
Have they been listened to? Well, yes, apart from:
- Those that voted for a soft EEA type Brexit
- Those that voted for a Brexit that would make them better off
- Those that voted for Brexit to make the UK stronger internally and internationally 9/
- Those that didn’t vote for Brexit at any cost, such as No Deal.
- Those that voted as a protest at austerity
- Those that voted Leave in the hope of more money and political attention for their depressed nation, region or town 10/
So who does that leave? The small proportion of people who voted to leave the EU at any cost, including their neighbours’ friends and families’ jobs. They have been listened to. 11/
So a) the votes of leave voters have already counted, but b) only a small section of Leave voters, and a tiny minority of the electorate have had their voices heard. 12/
Betrayal? Not listening then gaslighting about ‘betrayal’ rather than asking if this is what people wanted, or what they still want, is not democracy. Ruining people’s lives for political reasons is the betrayal here. 13/13
P.S. that’s all aside from the fact that the argument that a it is undemocratic for a democracy to change its democratic will is utterly ludicrous, of course.
*Meant voted Remain, not leave*
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A quick thread on the two points here: 1) a referendum on the Withdrawal Agreement & Political Declaration damages democracy, and 2) it would encourage a descent into populism. Both reasonable concerns. Both are, I think, wrong though, and for closely linked reasons. 1/
On 1) as @davidallengreen (who is against a ref on the deal for other reasons, some of which I disagree with) has pointed out many times, and pointed out again yesterday, a referendum can be democratic or irreversible, but not both. 2/ jackofkent.com/2018/10/why-re…
And it would be a referendum. If the 52% are still the 52%, the UK would still leave the EU. If they are not the 52% anymore, but 48%, or 45%, or 35%, then the UK would otherwise be leaving the EU at a point at which the majority were against it doing so. 3/
Are people still writing to their MPs on Brexit and the need for a #FinalSay/#Peoplesvote? If not, we should be. MPs get mail/emails on an endless variety of issues, and if their postbag is not dominated by opposition to Brexit they won't feel the pressure to act. 1/
I know some people are, and I know people have and have got no reply so it seems pointless to do it again, but it really isn't. It needs to be sustained and widespread to get through, but MPs genuinely take notice of this. 2/
Also, when MPs see opinion polls, they always think their constituency is different and an exception if what they see in their postbag/inbox and on the doorstep doesn't chime with the polls. 3/
Lot of conflicting views on what’s being called Brexit “hell week” this week. This is the latest I’ve seen, and looks like things are not progressing as fast as some predicted. 1/
Leads one to suspect that the DUP have been on the line to Number 10 again on the backstop 2/
And, if this report is correct, it looks like May is resisting the reported EU27 proposal of a Political Declaration with a blah-blah commitment to a close relationship, but only the options should UKGov red lines move in the future detailed. 3/
Imagine a person so filled with hatred that they would listen to @CakeWatchCast solely to find something to fill a vile message to a fellow human with.
Now imagine a govt telling them they are winners & in the right, and that the people they are abusing are the losers & wrong.
Now imagine a population where few people care enough to speak up. That would rather not stick their head above the parapet. That is just glad it’s not them getting the abuse, and will stay silent as long as that’s the case.
Now go on to think about a National broadcast media regulated by statute, that gives a platform constantly to those that deliberately spread this message.
I had not thought of that for the Political Declaration. Allows for substance, but still allows muddying by UKGov on the likelihood of getting agreement in its favour.
Not a blind, but a one-eye-covered Brexit. Objects are in view, but no sense of how close or far away they are.
On the other hand, it could lay bare the fundamental disagreements, and those who genuinely still think the EU27 are bluffing on key issues are surely disproportionately located in the crackpot ERG faction.
How reassured would Parliament be by May telling them that the disagreements are not fundamental and she believes they can be agreed?
Wait for friction at the border. It’ll be catastrophic for Florists. 70% of flowers in the UK come from the Netherlands, and are delivered next morning to maximise shelf and vase life. Every hour of delay is an hour off that. 1/
The overwhelming majority of florists are small, local businesses employing only 1 or 2 people. There are no cost-cuts they can make, and the proposition of selling a non-necessity that lasts less time for a higher price will make them hard to sustain. 2/
In addition to the increase in costs from GBP’s devaluation, Florent, the trade association, predict another 14% increase in costs from leaving the SM/CU. Here’s more information from @AlynSmith. 3/ thenational.scot/news/16135092.…