As far back as 1993, Abiola was housing delegates in Niger and Abuja for SDP convention in Jos - hotel accomodation is the least of delegate problems when it comes to party primaries.
For #PDPConventionPHC, whoever emerges will emerge because everyone wants him as flagbearer.
And if anyone is imposed, to think that more popularised aspirants like Atiku or Saraki and party-based ones like Lamido and Makarfi will keep quiet is foolish.
If anyone is imposed, the party base will revolt and we will see it happen - so I’m not bothered honestly.
The remarkable turnaround of Saraki’s political profile - for someone who just a few months ago was still in APC is a pointer to the fact that anyone can be transformed or turned around, especially once others presidential aspirants fade into the background.
Ignore Deji.
It is political season and everyone wants to have an opinion to stay relevant - hence the conspiracy theories.
If any aspirant is afraid of Wike’s clout, they should say so openly - rather than courting him privately and attacking him by proxy in the public space.
Wike imposed Secondus.
And the party didn’t revolt - and the party isn’t factionalised: it’s clear so many people lack political understanding.
Did he impose Secondus in PH? Why does he then need a convention in PH to then impose?
Your MCM is obsessed with attention 🤦🏽♂️
Wike is just one man and he will have his say (nobody can even shut him up).
The majority of party delegates will have their way though and whoever emerges in a free and fair process will have our support against Buhari - how anyone even thinks Tambuwal is weak is befuddling.
This is @DattiBAhmed, a presidential aspirant in PDP, breaking down anti-corruption better than Buhari ever can - many do not even know him but he is in the race and if the horsetrading favours him, he may emerge.
And we will support him against Buhari - same with all aspirants.
To say Tambuwal is the weakest of all PDP aspirants is blatant falsehood which calls into question not only the naïveté of your conspiracy theorist but also the gross ignorance of those of you plugged into his rants and listening.
Apologies, but where do you put Bafarawa?
Most important factor in the 2019 configuration is the party - put any of the PDP aspirants on the platform of any party other than PDP and they will lose like Omisore.
Put any of them on the PDP platform though and he immediately becomes the rallying figure like Adeleke.
Some of us understand the fact that despite all the public noise, anybody can emerge after Saturday from #PDPConventionPHC - and we will have to scale the persona nationally, as Buhari was - so we monitor them.
Where Buhari had only 2 months, we now have more than 4 months.
This is my preferred candidate by the way - Alhaji Sule Lamido @TheBamainaBoy - there is none of the 13 PDP aspirants in the PDP platform that is not better than Buhari by any standard.
(I should do a video thread of this series before #PDPConventionPHC if I can find the time.)
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I should say this to all Igbos whom I feel have been forced by historical and recent events to take a position of “We don’t care about Power” in their own country:
If Power in any Nation is not something some parts of that Nation can aspire to, then it’s not a true Nation.
So we just did this and my argument for an Igbo running mate for Atiku hinges on three things: Strategy, Reward to Achieve Higher Performance and Nationalism.
Let me start from the last: PDP cannot successfully claim to be a Nationalist party if SE doesn’t get VP - simple.
On strategy - we had 3 main thrusts from 2015 when PDP lost: a) Expose APC for failure b) Choose a Fulani Candidate to challenge Buhari in his base and c) Choose an Igbo running mate to turn out higher numbers than 2015 from the SE, like it did in 2011.
We’ve done a,b; now do c.
After Kano results came in and PDP lost woefully, I looked at 2011 figures and still felt confident that PDP would win.
If the SE had given us same figures in 2015 as it had in 2011, GEJ would have won in 2015.
PDP will win SE - I agree.
But will PDP win SE massively? Not sure.
I think the current crop of political leaders across Nigeria have failed to learn one crucial lesson about Relevance, Influence and Rest - which many in our generation also don’t understand.
For me, it is what Uncle Bola Ige aptly described as the “Siddon Look Movement”.
Siddon Look basically is a posture of political inactivity or passive political participation rather than pushing yourself into the fray in order not to lose relevance.
Ige took this position in reaction to the IBB regime Third Republic and it was effective for his politics.
Many politicians, jittery of losing their political base participated in the Third Republic until it was scuttled.
Again during the ill-fated Abacha transition, Ige still didn’t participate until that also ended - yet by 1999, Ige and his party retained their power bases.
As I was saying about the permutations that won the victory today...
Before Tambuwal came into the venue last night, an indistinguishable man was announced and I knew immediately that The Generals had decided and he was here to oversee.
In 1999, Atiku was presiding over a PDM meeting to endorse Ekwueme as PDP presidential flagbearer when Gusau came and informed him that Obasanjo was the preferred candidate of The Generals.
Atiku postponed that meeting for two days and when they reconvened, dynamics had changed.
A debt was paid last night with the change in permutations but Otta is not a power base that shifts easily.
It took a call from the West to shift the stand of Otta, where the god that resides there had as far back as 3 months ago vowed to support whoever emerged from PDP.
Was mildly surprised last night to see that the APC was also holding a convention from which the only positive I see is that someone isn’t totally lifeless but merely sleeping at one of the most important events of his life.
The permutations involved the horse-trading between aspirants, the concessions made in delegates, political deals and also rumours from online about Cash - which I saw none of personally, know no one who saw but I am certain happened as always in politics.