On strategy - we had 3 main thrusts from 2015 when PDP lost: a) Expose APC for failure b) Choose a Fulani Candidate to challenge Buhari in his base and c) Choose an Igbo running mate to turn out higher numbers than 2015 from the SE, like it did in 2011.
We’ve done a,b; now do c.
Oct 8, 2018 • 17 tweets • 4 min read
I think the current crop of political leaders across Nigeria have failed to learn one crucial lesson about Relevance, Influence and Rest - which many in our generation also don’t understand.
For me, it is what Uncle Bola Ige aptly described as the “Siddon Look Movement”.
Siddon Look basically is a posture of political inactivity or passive political participation rather than pushing yourself into the fray in order not to lose relevance.
Ige took this position in reaction to the IBB regime Third Republic and it was effective for his politics.
Oct 7, 2018 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
As I was saying about the permutations that won the victory today...
Before Tambuwal came into the venue last night, an indistinguishable man was announced and I knew immediately that The Generals had decided and he was here to oversee.
His name, Ali Gusau. #PDPConventionPHC
In 1999, Atiku was presiding over a PDM meeting to endorse Ekwueme as PDP presidential flagbearer when Gusau came and informed him that Obasanjo was the preferred candidate of The Generals.
Atiku postponed that meeting for two days and when they reconvened, dynamics had changed.
Oct 7, 2018 • 26 tweets • 7 min read
Was mildly surprised last night to see that the APC was also holding a convention from which the only positive I see is that someone isn’t totally lifeless but merely sleeping at one of the most important events of his life.
But let’s talk a bit about #PDPConventionPHC.
The permutations involved the horse-trading between aspirants, the concessions made in delegates, political deals and also rumours from online about Cash - which I saw none of personally, know no one who saw but I am certain happened as always in politics.
I feel I should say a quick word about my support for Alhaji Sule Lamido.
First of, I don’t arrive at decisions like this lightly and since 2015 - ever before meeting him, I’ve had my eyes on him politically.
And then I looked at the political landscape and also at my PDP.
I believe strongly that PDP lost its soul at some point under Obasanjo and moved far away from what the founding fathers intended.
Out of power, I felt it was a good time to reset and looking at all the founding fathers, only Lamido in my eyes could restore the founding values.
Oct 4, 2018 • 23 tweets • 12 min read
As we approach the landmark 2019 election which will confirm if the new power elite in Govt will be willing to surrender power again, the role of @inecnigeria must henceforth be under continuous scrutiny and this righteous task is one on which patriots shouldn’t be deterred.
Democrats take it for granted that politicians are desperate in their quest to fulfil ambition by taking power, hence, the importance of an imperial arbiter.
If politicians in Nigeria are devious or desperate, why would Democracy need @inecnigeria?
Oct 4, 2018 • 15 tweets • 3 min read
If metaphysician Gabriel Okonzua were still alive, he may have told us that he saw the star of Lagos go dim last night.
But one needs no such powers to know that indeed, the star of Lagos had gone dim yesterday with the confirmation of Sanwo-Olu and Ambode’s capitulation.
Lagos took a step closer to complete enslavement yesterday with the events in the APC and rather than mourning by sitting down in ashes and weeping bitterly before rising with stronger resolve, Lagosians are carrying as though nothing strange and unprecedented has happened.
Oct 3, 2018 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
After looking, what will you do?
If Wike needs convention in PH to impose someone because he’ll book all hotels, how did he manage to ‘impose’ Secondus in Abuja in 2017?
If Tambuwal emerges, it’s because most party stakeholders want him as flagbearer, not Wike only.
As far back as 1993, Abiola was housing delegates in Niger and Abuja for SDP convention in Jos - hotel accomodation is the least of delegate problems when it comes to party primaries.
For #PDPConventionPHC, whoever emerges will emerge because everyone wants him as flagbearer.
Oct 2, 2018 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
I think it’s important to clarify some misunderstanding as regards Lagos Politics as representative of the politics of the Yorubas - it’s false.
And I say this because I just saw a thread, explaining Tinubu’s Lagos as symbolic of Yoruba politics, in reaction to this perception.
As with all issues, the facts do not support that Lagos symbolism - every other SW State has had a period of governance by PDP for at least one term, many have had two terms in fact and Lagos is the outlier.
So Lagos politics is what it is, by itself, not symbolic of that zone.
Oct 1, 2018 • 20 tweets • 4 min read
People overrate Wike as a power-base in the PDP and while I understand that it’s partly due to how vocal he is but also because people assume the PDP is like the APC with power-bases built around single individuals.
And a lot of misconceptions are now being introduced.
That Wike singlehandedly imposed Ali Modu Sheriff on the PDP as Chairman or that he did the same with Uche Secondus is false - and I’m shocked that matters of recent history can be twisted to suit narratives so conveniently.
Ali Modu Sheriff emerged initially by consensus.
Sep 29, 2018 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
Lol, see accusation.
If I ever collected money from anyone for this rubbish then let money run from me or come to me and end up on waste.
If I did not though, tell these three men that by their own words as typed with their own hands, they are by this their own actions cursed. @MP_Muye - I do not know you but you made false accusations against me.
By your own words be condemned unless you retract and I sincerely pray you do not and you must learn that words, even those spoken loosely have consequences because the world is created by words.
Sep 26, 2018 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
Senator Ademola Adeleke is a man of many parts, of which many parts are hidden and he’s characterised as a simpleminded personality in the minds of a general populace.
So here are a few things about the PDP gubernatorial candidate in Osun State.
Born in the Eastern part of Nigeria, Senator Adeleke’s father was a Second Republic Senator and protege of Chief Obafemi Awolowo.
His mother Nnenna Esther, raised him as Christian and his father gave him the Muslim name “Nurudeen”.
Hon. Prince Albert Adeogun is the running mate of Senator Ademola Adeleke and he is a sitting, serving and active member of the House of Reps in Abuja, representing Ife Federal Constituency comprising Ife North/South/East/Central LGAs.
He will deliver massively tomorrow. B.Sc and M.Sc in Political Science before going to study Law and becoming a Lawyer then joining the Customs Service, retiring as a Comptroller.
Albert Adeogun is an Ife Prince, born into two Royal Families in Ile-Ife.
He will deliver votes.
Sep 25, 2018 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
Doc, we watched the order of events on TV and not until our party agent pointed out that the 10,836 figure was pasted even on the wall at the INEC Collation Centre in Ayedaade did the EO of the LGA send someone to go and remove it.
@AMADICHIMA Secondly: anyone who deducts 1,000 votes from an LGA result can equally take time to deduct 500, 200 and 300 from ward results to complete the process - unless you can post the EC8A forms from PUs, the EC8B doesn’t help to confirm much.
Sep 25, 2018 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Same way Oshiomhole felt after he declared lack of confidence in INEC’s conduct of his re-run election during the actual conduct of election, only to start praising Jonathan and INEC when he won.
If our pressure forces INEC to do the right thing and we win, pressure on🤓🤓
A lot of ideological clarity will be required in the coming days from all patriots - criticising INEC is to ensure that they do not constitute an impediment to democracy, but that they act as the unbiased electoral umpire that they are supposed to be.
If they do, we commend them
Sep 25, 2018 • 7 tweets • 4 min read
The Thursday rerun election is completely unnecessary.
@inecnigeria officers connived with APC to steal PDP votes and inflate APC votes. The case of Ayedaade LGA has been made and we are making it again to INEC in Osogbo now.
4,387 votes were stolen from PDP in total.
Apart from the votes stolen from PDP in Ayedaade LGA, in Osogbo LGA, @inecnigeria inflated the votes of APC by 1,900 and reduced the votes of PDP by 100.
I’ve just seen the EC8C form and these are the figures - why did @inecnigeria officers inflate APC’s result???
Sep 25, 2018 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Im not sure this is entirely accurate but I do know that Tinubu is unhappy with Aregbesola and has taken over the elections personally since Sunday morning when he influenced mid-level INEC officers to declare the election inconclusive.
One huge factor many people are forgetting is that the PDP had chosen its running mate to Adeleke from Ife and he is a serving House of Reps member representing Ife East/North/South/Central - and 4 of the 7 rerun Polling Units are in his constituency.
And he is a Prince in Ife.
Sep 24, 2018 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
The Police this morning arrested a PDP sympathiser, Alhaji Fatai Diekola around Akinlade Street, Alekuwodo area in Osogbo while he was meeting with PDP voters for the rerun.
Diekola was a strong Aregbesola ally before Oyetola was imposed on APC in Osun by Bola Tinubu.
After Alhaji Diekola’s arrest by the Police, a PDP leader continued to preside over the meeting until thugs came there and shouted shooting sporadically to disperse those who had voted for PDP on Saturday with whom the party hierarchy was meeting.
Sep 23, 2018 • 18 tweets • 4 min read
Osun was a Miracle.
APC planned to rig shamelessly and succeeded in so many places scientifically and mathematically: cutting PDP victory in some places, inflating their own figures in other places - a hundred there, two hundred here, cutting it really close to look legit.
Let me do a quick thread on the three things that saved PDP in Osun apart from our collective efforts:
The Adeleke-Underdog Strategy,
Senator Iyiola Omisore and
Focus on Osogbo not Ede where the election was actually decided.
It was a victory for high strategy and experience.