1/ Economists and traditional valuation experts claim that for most anything to be *valued* it must have cash flows.
2/ These experts then go on to say currencies can't be valued, they can only be *priced.*
3/ So then the "fundamental value" of stocks and other cash producing assets is based on currencies that have no fundamental value? Logic seems fragile at best, like building a castle with air.
4/ Of course, this debate comes up frequently around #crypto valuations. People addicted to their cash flows have a hard time seeing how a new asset class can have new fundamental value, without seeing the flaws in their own thinking.
5/ For our entire history, humans have decided how to value things. Valuation methods continue to evolve for stocks and many other assets, why shouldn't new ones be born for #crypto?
6/ What frustrates me is the lack of dexterity in thought, or willingness to venture, and adherence to cash flows (an idea humans created) as the all-knowing indicator of value.
7/ #Cryptoassets are based on open data layers, providing us more transparency into the flow & use of these assets than any before. #Blockchains were built for this.
8/ With near perfect data around #cryptoassets, it's just a matter of time before the right formulas & approaches are derived that will far exceed the analogies we currently employ be drawing from learnings around physical currencies and commodities.
9/ Call me young & dumb, but in the coming decades people will win Nobel Prizes for new valuation methods around the *fundamentals* of #crypto, a reminder that humans are the sole creator of the illusions of value around them.
10/ Thanks @jmonegro and many others for helping me think through aspects of this. Sorry cash flow addicts, I think many of you are brilliant but just can't see the buildings you grew up in from the inside out.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1/ A PoS industry is rapidly emerging that will someday rival PoW in profits and wealth creation.
2/ That's billions in profit and tens of billions in wealth creation for PoS providers (at current PoW levels), with at least an order of magnitude of headroom.
3/ This is despite PoW & PoS having a shared destiny as commodity industries with thin margins.
PoW will converge on the cost of electricity and PoS on the cost of crypto-capital (?).
1/ While new crypto value capture mechanisms can rise to prominence in bull markets, they are tested, hardened and de-risked by bear markets.
2/ Only those that survive multiple crypto bear markets establish themselves as reliable “value capture mechanisms.”
3/ Store of value (SoV) = only crypto value capture mechanism that's significantly de-risked, but that doesn’t mean SoV is the only one that will ever work.
1/ Many tokens currently face stagnant cryptoeconomies, as supply was never spent or earned, but instead brought into existence via balance sheet swaps.
2/ “Balance sheet swaps”= investors in ICOs swapping assets with the issuer, giving birth to a native token without it ever having to go into *circulation.*
3/ Most ICO investors then held the token on their balance sheets, as they never planned to be on the supply-side or demand-side of the network.
1/ When studying non-fungible #cryptoassets, I'm seeing two types discussed: "functionals" and "investment instruments."
2/ "Functionals" are non-fungibles that are meant to be used, a means to access services like ticketing, voting, payment, and more. Best existing examples?
3/ "Investment instrument" non-fungibles are held for their store of value characteristics, be they solely digital things, or derivations of meatspace assets (real estate, art, cars, etc).
1/ Get ready for a predictable #crypto pattern: in the coming months, we will see an increasing number of #Bitcoin maximalists tormenting “altcoin investors” for straying from the mother ship.
2/ The maximalist drum will get louder as we go deeper into the bear market, with #bitcoin falling less than most other coins, and its dominance index growing. coinmarketcap.com/charts/#domina…
3/ #Bitcoin is the benchmark after all, the market beta of crypto, with most everything oscillating at a higher amplitude than $BTC.