1/ Put together some informal thoughts on smart contract platforms for friends that I figured I should share. Clearly, this market is #Ethereum’s to lose.
2/ The reward, however, for any smart contract platform that can achieve #Ethereum levels of success is significant. Makes the expected value of investments potentially positive, even if low odds.
3/ #Ethereum has a “feature gravity advantage” over the upstarts, and a proven willingness to move fast and avoid ossification. So long as scale doesn’t make things a quagmire, such flexible governance will suit $ETH well going forward.
4/ an important consideration in this space is always the #cryptoasset’s supply schedule, and thereby future dilution for token holders.
5/ Most smart contract platforms have issued about 50% of their tokens, give or take, with the notable exception of Stellar.
6/ The red bars reveal the impact of inflation on the expected value of these #cryptonetworks. Chart reveals that if the price of these assets were to stay flat from now to 2050, then the resultant network value solely from inflation (a form of dilution) is depicted.
7/ Lots left to be said, but the good stuff always happens in conversation 🙂 data was sourced from @onchainfx
8/ Last thing, it’s unlikely smart contract platforms is a winner-takes-most market. Too many trade offs between performance, security, flexibility, etc, that devs will gravitate toward the platform that best suits their dapp.
9/ Furthermore, abstracting interoperability a layer above smart contract platforms + off-chain functionality like @Truebitprotocol, @keep_project, etc, may ultimately commoditize these platforms, save for the ones that become massive “reserve #cryptoassets”
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1/ A PoS industry is rapidly emerging that will someday rival PoW in profits and wealth creation.
2/ That's billions in profit and tens of billions in wealth creation for PoS providers (at current PoW levels), with at least an order of magnitude of headroom.
3/ This is despite PoW & PoS having a shared destiny as commodity industries with thin margins.
PoW will converge on the cost of electricity and PoS on the cost of crypto-capital (?).
1/ While new crypto value capture mechanisms can rise to prominence in bull markets, they are tested, hardened and de-risked by bear markets.
2/ Only those that survive multiple crypto bear markets establish themselves as reliable “value capture mechanisms.”
3/ Store of value (SoV) = only crypto value capture mechanism that's significantly de-risked, but that doesn’t mean SoV is the only one that will ever work.
1/ Many tokens currently face stagnant cryptoeconomies, as supply was never spent or earned, but instead brought into existence via balance sheet swaps.
2/ “Balance sheet swaps”= investors in ICOs swapping assets with the issuer, giving birth to a native token without it ever having to go into *circulation.*
3/ Most ICO investors then held the token on their balance sheets, as they never planned to be on the supply-side or demand-side of the network.
1/ When studying non-fungible #cryptoassets, I'm seeing two types discussed: "functionals" and "investment instruments."
2/ "Functionals" are non-fungibles that are meant to be used, a means to access services like ticketing, voting, payment, and more. Best existing examples?
3/ "Investment instrument" non-fungibles are held for their store of value characteristics, be they solely digital things, or derivations of meatspace assets (real estate, art, cars, etc).
1/ Get ready for a predictable #crypto pattern: in the coming months, we will see an increasing number of #Bitcoin maximalists tormenting “altcoin investors” for straying from the mother ship.
2/ The maximalist drum will get louder as we go deeper into the bear market, with #bitcoin falling less than most other coins, and its dominance index growing. coinmarketcap.com/charts/#domina…
3/ #Bitcoin is the benchmark after all, the market beta of crypto, with most everything oscillating at a higher amplitude than $BTC.