Armine Yalnizyan Profile picture
Apr 21, 2018 11 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Canada is the 10th largest economy in the world, with a fraction of the other economies' populations.
We can build whatever kind of world we want.
#cdnecon
Pharmacare? Child care/early childhood education? Dental care? Post-secondary education? Housing? Public transit? Legal aid? Access to hi speed internet? Basic income?
We can improve any dimension of our lives we choose.
#cdnecon
What we *can't* do, if we want to improve everyone's quality of life, is continue to offer tax cuts. That includes not enforcing existing tax rules/permitting tax evasion.
Tax cuts are sold as "more money in your pocket".
Two things that are misleading about that framing...
1) The people who most *need* and would *use* more money in their pockets are the least likely to be helped by tax cuts.
Tax cuts *can* be designed to go to the poorest, but in Canada they've tended to benefit most the most affluent over past 25 yrs (cuz they pay the most taxes)
2) "More money in your pocket" means you can buy more, but you can't buy something that doesn't exist. Tax cuts don't create one new high-quality child care space, buy one new streetcar, build one new unit of affordable housing.
BUT....
Programs like pharmacare, dental care, child care, housing, public transit, .... all focus on affordability/access to high quality services.
*That* puts more money in your pocket too (pay less for child care, have more to spend on other things).
But what's even better....
Easy access to services that improve quality of life means everyone can optimize their contributions to the economy.
Healthier, more educated, more connected people.
Better economic performance.
More growth.
*Better lives*, individually and collectively.
#cdnecon #10thlargest
What the tax cut agenda means is "you can't have more, you can't have better".
It's framed as being about choice - you know how to spend your money better than government.
But you can't choose things that markets don't create: affordable housing, childcare, good transit etc.
Drives me crazy when politicians promise to keep your taxes low, freeze them, or cut them.
What they're saying is - we're going to give you less (inflation, maintenance costs will mean you get less quality and less quantity).

Let's challenge this in Toronto, in Ontario, in CDA
I'm totally OK if people don't want to raise taxes to improve things from where they're at.
But we need to escape this fiscal fantasy that we can improve things without paying more in taxes.
And if we don't pay more, nothing improves.
Growth isn't the secret sauce it used to be.
Canada is the 10th largest economy in the world, with a fraction of the population.
We can create any type of society we want.
Whatever we choose, we'll pay for it: through taxes, through our "pockets", through what we don't accomplish as a society.
*That's* our choice.
#cdnecon

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More from @ArmineYalnizyan

May 15, 2018
I asked @DanDoctoroff today at eventbrite.ca/e/toronto-towa… what Sidewalk Labs' business model was? How did they plan to make money here?
His answer(s):
#cdnecon
There are five potential sources of revenue for Sidewalk Labs:
1. One will be potentially from development, Sidewalk Labs as "master-enabler, but our role in vertical will be limited. We want to demonstrate *others* can make money". /2
2. Working with Waterfront Toronto and planning, getting approvals for land use, will mean value of property will increase. Sidewalk Labs will get some $ for some of that. /3
Read 13 tweets
May 4, 2018
Hey everybody this chart is great news on two fronts:
1) only 12.1% of Canada's 15-29 year olds are not working, in school or training. We can do better, but we're better than most of OECD's 36 nations.
2) this number was 16.6% 5 days ago. Shocking. Here's what happened next /2
It seemed high given we were 9th worst out of 36 countries. @AlexUsherHESA pointed out relatively high PSE enrolments and relatively low unemployment made it seem odd.
StatCan doesn't publish data series on the category. 1 monograph here: statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidie… /3
That's for 15-19 year olds only, and only for 2016. I asked them for the data series for 15-29 year olds, because they were likely the originators of the data OECD used. The 2016 value was much lower than the OECD.
OECD needs to make data from around the world comparable. /4
Read 11 tweets
Mar 15, 2018
Dear any political party
Don't bother preaching tax cuts, debt-reduction through service cuts, as the fast-track to the future or a path to prosperity.
We've had a quarter century social experiment with that.
We're done with that fiscal fantasy.
#TimesUp
#GenderResponsiveBudgets
If you're keen on debt reduction, grow the economy.
If you want more growth, support for women > trade or biz investment.
Women's estimated potential impact on growth (with supports) $150B by 2026. Trade's ~$12B by 2040.
(Thread: )
#cdnecon #cdnpoli #onpoli
Federal #Budget2018 articulated most elements of a plan to increase women's contribution to the economy, but not the next crucial step: a national strategy to improve access to affordable, high quality early childhood education for our kids.
That's why Poloz talked about it y'day
Read 8 tweets
Dec 1, 2017
LOL
Businesses raise their prices *without* the minimum wage going up allathetime! #cdnecon
Exhibit A: Tim Horton's raised the price of a cup of coffee in
2011 by 7¢ ("rising prices of coffee beans")
2014 by 10¢ ("rising operations costs", with coffee bean prices and, oh yah, costs of [$11B] Burger King deal identified)
August 2017 by 10¢ ("rising operations costs")
You will note not one of those rising costs were wages.
NONE.
Put price rises in context. Any rising input cost is a rising cost. Period.
Including executive pay and mergers and acquisitions.
Read 17 tweets

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