Maxim A. Suchkov Profile picture
Jul 1, 2018 10 tweets 11 min read Read on X
SHORT THREAD on the upcoming #Helsinki summit b/n #Putin, @realDonaldTrump.
1. Amidst modest,if not low,expectations on the very deliverables of the meeting it's interesting to see public & back-channel efforts of #Moscow & #Washington to build the agenda for the summit.
2. @AmbJohnBolton 's visit to #Moscow was meant to lay the ground for the summit & it appears the parties have reached agreement on the basics. What #Putin & #Bolton were conveying to one another is important.
al-monitor.com/pulse/original…
3. There's plenty of speculation over what the two will agree on in #Syria - the topic likely to dominate the summit. That said, given what's happening now b/n #Rus #US diplomats it's clear they been tasked to elaborate on broader agenda to make the talks look substantive.
4. Beyond #Syria, #Russia & #US now in talks over #DPRK. US Deputy Assistant State Secretary & Deputy Special Rep for #NorthKorea Policy Mark Lambert was in #Moscow on Friday for consultations w/ RUS FM's Amb-at-Large Oleg Burmistrov&Deputy FM Igor Morgulov who works on DPRK file
5. Earlier this week, another #Russia/n Deputy FM Grushko held talks w/ #US Deputy Assistant Secretaries of State Kathleen Kavalec (works on Russia) & Bruce Turner (deals w/ arms control issues).They discussed conflict in #Ukraine,European security,#OSCE & Treaty on Open Skies.
6. Also on TUE this week, #Russia's Enegry Minister Novak was in #Washington meeting w/ #US Treasury Sec Mnuchin to discuss US sanctions on #Rus & #Moscow’s plan to expand #NordStream gas pipeline to #Germany.
7. There're also ongoing discussions on arms control,ABM treaty,START.
To be clear-there's plenty of skepticism on practical implications of the summit in #Moscow.There's gonna be a lot of empthasis on symbolism of the meeting,but parties evidently also seek to fill it w/ issues.
8. #Russia's Foreign Ministry spox Zakharova says the Ministry doesn't comment on upcoming #Putin-#Trump summit since it's competence of the Presidential Administration, adds she'd avoid "loud words" as "breakthroughs" but rather approach the summit in "pragmatic"&"realist"manner
9. A jounalist started question on @AmbJohnBolton visit to #Moscow by saying "#Bolton known here as outspoken Russophob.." Zakharova cuts the jorno short asking"What you mean "known here"?Where?Have you read his book"Surrender is not an option"?Go read,I like it,it's interesting"
10.Extradition of #Snowden been recently raised as part of #Putin,#Trump agreements,#Moscow denies such possibility.Meanwhile Snowden recently said #Rus spy agencies proposed cooperation&he refused.He added Rus people are kind but not naive&they know gov is "in many ways corrupt"

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More from @m_suchkov

Sep 12, 2018
Short THREAD on #Russia - #Turkey divergences over #Idlib as seen from #Moscow:
1. In early August I described rationale behind RU positon & that "certain level of understanding reached w/ TUR that there should be no [large-scale] offensive on Idlib [then]"almon.co/338t
2.I recently reached out to the same senior RUS diplomat who reiterated #Moscow's bottom-line desire to settle the issue peacefully except for terrorists organization who he argued #Turkey too agreed to fight as part of AStana agreements.Yesterday,RU #Syria envoy Lavrentyev..
3. .alluded to #Russia's growing displease w/ #Ankara's inability to deliver upon its committments in the area that, as Lavrentyev said"is kind of their zone of responsibility."Instead,#Erdogan writing op-eds,trying to enlist support from #West/ern partners over #Idlib which is..
Read 10 tweets
Sep 7, 2018
My take-away from #TehranSummit this far is #Russia, #Turkey, #Iran each, by & large, can be satisfied w/ its outcomes. #Moscow & #Tehran realized #Erdogan has bigger assets & higher stakes in #Idlib than, say, in southern #Syria where he let #Assad get the opposition, thus..
..the idea for the summit was to get a deal where all the 3 can secure their bottom-line interests.They didn't fully achieve it since there will be another round of trilateral talks (some time in the future in #Russia) and the parties hope to settle #Idlib issue in #Tehran but..
..(a) #Turkey maintained credibility of the oppoaition (by that good cop-bad cop thing #Erdogan & #Putun played), (b) #Russia got his promise to deal w/ those attacking #Hmeymim (c) #Ankara received time to settle the major task of assorting militants (d)..
Read 4 tweets
Sep 4, 2018
#Lavrov now: De-confliction b/n #Russia & #US in #Syria wotking wrll, when there's a need Americans turn to us for explanations of certain things and we do the same
#Lavrov now: When we intervened in #Syria in Sep'15 #ISIS wad at the gates of #Damascus. Not a single power that are today raising voices about humanity, rights, etc moved their finger to prevent #Daesh from almost capturing the city & making it the capital of their caliphate
#Lavrov on @realDonaldTrump tweet on #Idlib: #Trump's right-we need to avoid a humanitarian crisis there. That's what we always try to do w/ humanitarian corridors & other coverups for civilians unlike Americans,say,in #Raqqa who just ironed the city. Now they want to cover Nusra
Read 9 tweets
Jul 20, 2018
.@washingtonpost made gross mistake (or #fakenews?) citing Amb Antonov on the referendum issue. At the @ValdaiClub talk WP referring to Antonov said "#Ukrainian issue was discussed”(not "#Donbass referendum" issue), adding"not all details shld be revealed"
wapo.st/2muzQar?tid=ss…
This mistake (or, again, was it intentional #fakenews frill?) set a line of reports that "#Russia reveals..." which is not the case. The info was allegedly LEAKED by two Rus diplomats to @business
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
The proposal on #Donbass appears to have indeed been made by #Putin,the info was not supposed to be disclosed until #Trump discussed it with his team. One may not like the proposal itself, but that it's now disclosed is bad for solution of the issue,courtesy of presidential talks
Read 4 tweets
Jul 20, 2018
#Russia's Amb. to #US Anatoly Antonov speaking @ValdaiClub says #Moscow is ready to discuss #Putin's visit to #Washington
reut.rs/2NvnRoj
Antonov adds,another group of #US lawmakers are planning to visit #Russia following a rare trip to #Moscow by Republican members of #Congress this month.The Ambassador noted, however,there was little chance of a trip by Russian lawmakers to #America before congressional elections
Antonov: Politicians in #Washington are very far from the people. What they are doing doesn't meet interests of American people.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 16, 2018
This is my THREAD on #HelsinkiSummit where I'll report/analyze all coming & subsequent developements from #Russia's POV:
1. Here's my take on #Putin-#Trump encounter for @ispionline where I argue the summit may have high hopes, but modest expectations
ispionline.it/it/pubblicazio…
2. This is what #Putin heads into #HelsinkiSummit with in terms of #Syria, #Iran: almon.co/32y5
3. #Putin & #Trump will be meet face-to-face around noon (1pm #Moscow time). The leaders have at least 3 hours scheduled for themselves after which they will proceed to another room for working lunch in a broader format with ministers and advisers.
Read 19 tweets

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