Maxim A. Suchkov Profile picture
Jul 9, 2018 14 tweets 15 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
NEW on coming #Putin @realDonaldTrump summit: (2nd THREAD)
1. In recent days #Moscow passed a two-page document to #Washington that should serve as a basis/draft for a bilateral communique the two Presidents should present after the #Helsinki talks.
2. According to #Rus sources #US accepted the paper but insisted an issue of "#Russia/n interference into American elections in 2016" is mentioned with due guarantees that this doesn't happen again.
3. Other statements on paper allegedly include themes of"sustaining dialogue b/n #Russia/n, #US officials,diplomats,military&security services" as well as development of economic ties,promotion of people-to-people contacts.Bilateral coop called one of factors for global stability
4.Meanwhile in the run-up to the summit,#Russia's Center for the Study of Public opinion presented its latest survey according to which 56% of Russians "don't expect substantial results from the summit",33%-expect "positive outcome",1%-negative outcome,10%-undecided.
5. At the same time, 54% of surveyed "don't expect changes in #US-#Russia relations in 2-3 years,25%-expect the relations to get better,9%-"the rels will get worse",12%-not sure which way the rels will go.
6.The overall attitude towards #US, according to the survey,remains negative.Only 29% saif they view #America favorably.The good news for US-number of those who view US critically fell from 39% (in 2014) to 26% and "very critically" from 27% to 14%. 31% not sure how they view US
7. The original survey is here:…
More to come on #Helsinki summit shortly, stay tuned for updates on this and following threads.
As promised, I continue a series of reports on coming #Putin-@realDonaldTrump summit in #Helsinki. In our latest @AlMonitor #Russia-Mideast we discuss whether #Moscow can (and should) deliver on #US hope of ousting #Iran from #Syria?
#Israel's @netanyahu lands in #Moscow shortly today for meeting w/ #Putin. #Russia's President will then host top aide to #Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Akbar Velayati who "coincidentally" visits #Rus on the same day. Big things happening in run up to Helsinki
So, @netanyahu is meeting #Putin tonight at 7 pm (#Moscow time) then will go to see #WorldCup semi-final #EnglandvsCroatia.
#Iran's SP adviser Ali Akbar Velayati will meet w/ #Russia's President early tomorrow. Stay tuned.
No sooner @netanyahu wil leave #Moscow, then #Palestine's Abbas lands in #Russia late Thursday to meet with #Putin on Friday.
So, there's high chance #MiddleEast peace plan will as well be touched upon at the #Helsinki summit.
#Putin to @netanyahu an hour ago: Glad to see you in #Moscow. Though you are here in private capacity for #WorldCup we can talk business..Our bilaterals going well.We appreciate your visit on May 9, your participation in march of "Immortal Regiment",it was well-received here."
.@netanyahu responds:1st,congrats оn successful #WorldCup.2nd,thanx for invitation to see the game & the opportunity on May 9.Every meeting b/n us is chance to act together to increase ME security & regional trust.Our focus 2day is #Syria,#Iran's presence there....
.@netanyahu continues: "..this issue isn't new for you.Few hours ago #Iran/ian drone penetrated into #Israel/i airspace from #Syria & was downed. We'll further severely tackle attempts to violate our airspace,territory. Coop b/n our countries key factor fpr regional stability"

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More from @m_suchkov

Sep 12, 2018
Short THREAD on #Russia - #Turkey divergences over #Idlib as seen from #Moscow:
1. In early August I described rationale behind RU positon & that "certain level of understanding reached w/ TUR that there should be no [large-scale] offensive on Idlib [then]"
2.I recently reached out to the same senior RUS diplomat who reiterated #Moscow's bottom-line desire to settle the issue peacefully except for terrorists organization who he argued #Turkey too agreed to fight as part of AStana agreements.Yesterday,RU #Syria envoy Lavrentyev..
3. .alluded to #Russia's growing displease w/ #Ankara's inability to deliver upon its committments in the area that, as Lavrentyev said"is kind of their zone of responsibility."Instead,#Erdogan writing op-eds,trying to enlist support from #West/ern partners over #Idlib which is..
Read 10 tweets
Sep 7, 2018
My take-away from #TehranSummit this far is #Russia, #Turkey, #Iran each, by & large, can be satisfied w/ its outcomes. #Moscow & #Tehran realized #Erdogan has bigger assets & higher stakes in #Idlib than, say, in southern #Syria where he let #Assad get the opposition, thus..
..the idea for the summit was to get a deal where all the 3 can secure their bottom-line interests.They didn't fully achieve it since there will be another round of trilateral talks (some time in the future in #Russia) and the parties hope to settle #Idlib issue in #Tehran but..
..(a) #Turkey maintained credibility of the oppoaition (by that good cop-bad cop thing #Erdogan & #Putun played), (b) #Russia got his promise to deal w/ those attacking #Hmeymim (c) #Ankara received time to settle the major task of assorting militants (d)..
Read 4 tweets
Sep 4, 2018
#Lavrov now: De-confliction b/n #Russia & #US in #Syria wotking wrll, when there's a need Americans turn to us for explanations of certain things and we do the same
#Lavrov now: When we intervened in #Syria in Sep'15 #ISIS wad at the gates of #Damascus. Not a single power that are today raising voices about humanity, rights, etc moved their finger to prevent #Daesh from almost capturing the city & making it the capital of their caliphate
#Lavrov on @realDonaldTrump tweet on #Idlib: #Trump's right-we need to avoid a humanitarian crisis there. That's what we always try to do w/ humanitarian corridors & other coverups for civilians unlike Americans,say,in #Raqqa who just ironed the city. Now they want to cover Nusra
Read 9 tweets
Jul 20, 2018
.@washingtonpost made gross mistake (or #fakenews?) citing Amb Antonov on the referendum issue. At the @ValdaiClub talk WP referring to Antonov said "#Ukrainian issue was discussed”(not "#Donbass referendum" issue), adding"not all details shld be revealed"…
This mistake (or, again, was it intentional #fakenews frill?) set a line of reports that "#Russia reveals..." which is not the case. The info was allegedly LEAKED by two Rus diplomats to @business…
The proposal on #Donbass appears to have indeed been made by #Putin,the info was not supposed to be disclosed until #Trump discussed it with his team. One may not like the proposal itself, but that it's now disclosed is bad for solution of the issue,courtesy of presidential talks
Read 4 tweets
Jul 20, 2018
#Russia's Amb. to #US Anatoly Antonov speaking @ValdaiClub says #Moscow is ready to discuss #Putin's visit to #Washington
Antonov adds,another group of #US lawmakers are planning to visit #Russia following a rare trip to #Moscow by Republican members of #Congress this month.The Ambassador noted, however,there was little chance of a trip by Russian lawmakers to #America before congressional elections
Antonov: Politicians in #Washington are very far from the people. What they are doing doesn't meet interests of American people.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 16, 2018
This is my THREAD on #HelsinkiSummit where I'll report/analyze all coming & subsequent developements from #Russia's POV:
1. Here's my take on #Putin-#Trump encounter for @ispionline where I argue the summit may have high hopes, but modest expectations…
2. This is what #Putin heads into #HelsinkiSummit with in terms of #Syria, #Iran:
3. #Putin & #Trump will be meet face-to-face around noon (1pm #Moscow time). The leaders have at least 3 hours scheduled for themselves after which they will proceed to another room for working lunch in a broader format with ministers and advisers.
Read 19 tweets

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