'Demola Olarewaju Profile picture
Sep 23, 2018 18 tweets 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Osun was a Miracle.

APC planned to rig shamelessly and succeeded in so many places scientifically and mathematically: cutting PDP victory in some places, inflating their own figures in other places - a hundred there, two hundred here, cutting it really close to look legit.
Let me do a quick thread on the three things that saved PDP in Osun apart from our collective efforts:

The Adeleke-Underdog Strategy,
Senator Iyiola Omisore and
Focus on Osogbo not Ede where the election was actually decided.

It was a victory for high strategy and experience.
Recall that Ekiti was lost because the APC came at Fayose with everything they could muster - it was like the entire hordes of APC he’ll against one man.

In Osun, Adeleke was positioned as the underdog who was not a threat and APC focused on Omisore instead and invaded Ife.
If they had focused on Adeleke, they would have concentrated forces on Ede and not Ife, Boripe and Osogbo.

While they were distracted, PDP snuck in and took four LGAs from their Ijesha stronghold, including my home LGA - Ilesha West.

Omisore helped PDP in yet another way.
The spurious WAEC issue against our man - a serving senator whom INEC had thoroughly screened for election in the past had left many elite in the Osogbo areas considering holding their noses and voting Oyetola:

But Omisore became their option instead after the debate.
Osogbo wasn’t the game changer and some of us knew all along but we needed to turn focus to Osogbo because APC could rig outrageously there.

The game changer was Ede - and the figures confirm our calculation was 10/10 here - a solid margin delivered, home and dry.
Most difficult to execute was the underdog strategy - we could easily have defended Senator Adeleke on every issue he was attacked with but APC, feeling triumphant after defeating Fayose - couldn’t understand what was going on: how many votes can a dancing senator get? 🌚🌚
You couldn’t even tell there was an election from many PDP TL’s but far back as over a month ago, the recce was done with the full backing of the party and we identified what to work on.

@bukolasaraki literally pulled PDP back into it with the Ogunbiyi-Adeleke reconciliation.
Not over on paper but onground: it is over and the gloves are off.

We’re going forward as topdogs now - the Adeleke Dynasty is their daddy’s daddy: PDP has won Osun, the rest is formality and APC has only one option:

Rig shamelessly and get exposed - Demola may not even play.
We ran on a Word - and it’s important to put that here I guess - for those who believe:

God hath chosen the foolish things of this world to confound the wise.

2019 is being written already and it is a matter concluded, awaiting manifestation.
By the time they got wise to the threat and tried to arrest the man, Abuja saw it as in overkill that could tarnish their own evil plans for 2019.

But even arresting Adeleke would have won us more margins - sorry but I was almost praying for it infact.
But nothing would have worked without the massive online crowd who kept vigil for a state many don’t even know so well - they wished PDP success because they want APC out in 2019 and #OsunDecides2018 was the mock exam to be passed before sitting for the main.

Guys, we’ve passed.
Again it dates back to 2015 when PDP was in crisis and we kept reminding people:

Defeating APC and Buhari is not for PDP’s sake but a task for all Nigerians to buy into.

The crisis was unplanned but we took advantage of it to key people into the opposition directly.
What we have now is a massive online crowd of politically conscious young people who will support PDP to spite APC and if PDP too messes up, they will deal with us again until all our heads are correct.

So we don’t take it for granted at all.

And Davido is bringing fresh game.
Their daddy in Aso Rock is a goner.

Their daddy in Lagos is upset that Aso Rock didn’t do everything to give him Osun yesterday - but doing that would have exposed the Aso Rock plan for 2019 too early and Osun wasn’t worth it for them.

And this one is crucial to the matter.
A divided entity is a vanquished entity - APC is divided.

Two Govs and one Gov-elect were practically working with another candidate, against the APC candidate who calls them the axis of evil along with one minister.

(You know I can name names but the game is still on.)
I’ve gisted you people enough: let’s all just play our part in this thing and trust others to play theirs.

If all you can do is RT or rant, please do, cos it works.

We halted their plan to rig Osun last night and it was because of YOU, not anyone else alone, but YOU.
Fully aware also of the issues around the rerun but again, those tasked with raising that issue will keep raising it - #OsunWillDance after September 27 and neither all the area boys from Lagos nor the soldiers from Abuja will stop it.

The Adeleke Dynasty is their Daddy.

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More from @DemolaRewaju

Oct 9, 2018
I should say this to all Igbos whom I feel have been forced by historical and recent events to take a position of “We don’t care about Power” in their own country:

If Power in any Nation is not something some parts of that Nation can aspire to, then it’s not a true Nation.
The office of VP is for Nigerians and if Igbos are indeed a part of Nigeria, then they should aspire to it boldly, openly and unapologetically.

If they cannot do it openly because some APC e-diots will come and say rubbish, some of us will do it for Nigeria - not just for Igbos.
If an Igbo isn’t in the highest power dynamics of Nigeria after 2019, then our claims to Nationhood will be sorely tested.

Nnamdi Kanu was active under PDP Govts but seeing Anyim as FG and the E in GEJ meaning Ebelechukwu helped PDP to hold Nation Nigeria.

This is about Nigeria
Read 4 tweets
Oct 9, 2018
So we just did this and my argument for an Igbo running mate for Atiku hinges on three things: Strategy, Reward to Achieve Higher Performance and Nationalism.

Let me start from the last: PDP cannot successfully claim to be a Nationalist party if SE doesn’t get VP - simple.
On strategy - we had 3 main thrusts from 2015 when PDP lost: a) Expose APC for failure b) Choose a Fulani Candidate to challenge Buhari in his base and c) Choose an Igbo running mate to turn out higher numbers than 2015 from the SE, like it did in 2011.

We’ve done a,b; now do c.
After Kano results came in and PDP lost woefully, I looked at 2011 figures and still felt confident that PDP would win.

If the SE had given us same figures in 2015 as it had in 2011, GEJ would have won in 2015.

PDP will win SE - I agree.
But will PDP win SE massively? Not sure.
Read 31 tweets
Oct 8, 2018
I think the current crop of political leaders across Nigeria have failed to learn one crucial lesson about Relevance, Influence and Rest - which many in our generation also don’t understand.

For me, it is what Uncle Bola Ige aptly described as the “Siddon Look Movement”.
Siddon Look basically is a posture of political inactivity or passive political participation rather than pushing yourself into the fray in order not to lose relevance.

Ige took this position in reaction to the IBB regime Third Republic and it was effective for his politics.
Many politicians, jittery of losing their political base participated in the Third Republic until it was scuttled.

Again during the ill-fated Abacha transition, Ige still didn’t participate until that also ended - yet by 1999, Ige and his party retained their power bases.
Read 17 tweets
Oct 7, 2018
As I was saying about the permutations that won the victory today...

Before Tambuwal came into the venue last night, an indistinguishable man was announced and I knew immediately that The Generals had decided and he was here to oversee.

His name, Ali Gusau. #PDPConventionPHC
In 1999, Atiku was presiding over a PDM meeting to endorse Ekwueme as PDP presidential flagbearer when Gusau came and informed him that Obasanjo was the preferred candidate of The Generals.

Atiku postponed that meeting for two days and when they reconvened, dynamics had changed.
A debt was paid last night with the change in permutations but Otta is not a power base that shifts easily.

It took a call from the West to shift the stand of Otta, where the god that resides there had as far back as 3 months ago vowed to support whoever emerged from PDP.
Read 6 tweets
Oct 7, 2018
Was mildly surprised last night to see that the APC was also holding a convention from which the only positive I see is that someone isn’t totally lifeless but merely sleeping at one of the most important events of his life.

But let’s talk a bit about #PDPConventionPHC.
The permutations involved the horse-trading between aspirants, the concessions made in delegates, political deals and also rumours from online about Cash - which I saw none of personally, know no one who saw but I am certain happened as always in politics.

But first let me explain (as much as I can) a little about the PDP delegate system for the #PDPConventionPHC of 2018.

A National Delegate is one (s)elected from each of Nigeria’s 774 LGAs to vote at the National Convention/Presidential Primaries.

So you have 774 Elected.
Read 26 tweets
Oct 6, 2018
Datti Baba-Ahmed.

Pro-Chancellor, Baze University.
Former House of Reps member.
Erudite Scholar.

Ibrahim Dankwambo.

Former Accountant-General of the Federation.
Serving Governor. 
Political Performer.

Kabiru Tanimu Turaki.

Senior Advocate of Nigeria.
Former Minister of Special Duties.
Former supervising Minister, Ministry of Labour.

Read 12 tweets

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