Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jan 20, 2018 6 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1. Afrin Syria Saturday am 20 Jan. I can't confirm this report but it would not surprise me. I've followed the #YPG & #YPJ since Fall 2014. I note equipment changes Kept count of force size. Posted dozens of clips of every @CJTFOIR presser on my YouTube channel. Afrin
2. Afrin was always a black box. I saw what appeared to be US small arms with Afrin YPG in contrast to the SDF forces in the rest of Syria. Possible they were beneficiaries of CIA Train & Equip debacle. Won't report estimates of force size but by 2016 it was already large.
3. One thing I observed starting in #Kobane and continuing on uninterrupted is when #Kurds capture weapons and arms they police it up, inventory it and put it to use. Neat rows of weapons and ammo. Documented each time with video and photos. I've seen many dozens of such posts.
4. I've seen several T-55's in really good shape. I recall the sad loss of a #YPJ crew during the Azaz Marea action. So far #SDF have been using large caliber AA guns to fire back at Turkish forces. Without armor Turkish infantry must advance to face motivated skilled shooters.
5. Weather is clear in Afrin for at least today. If #Turkey is going to start an air campaign, it's likely today. Will #Russia & #Assad surrender Syrian sovereignty to an invading force for genocide of peaceful historical occupant? We shall see. @KremlinRussia_E @USEmbassySyria
6. It's Sunday a.m. in #Afrin. Hate being right in yesterday's post about likely Turkish air assault.
#YPG command requested reporting black out. It was immediate and total. It's one of the combat disciplines that made #SDF so successful. They could teach operational security.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Sep 25, 2018
1. Was today's #Rosenstein affair part of a carefully planned Russian intel operation assisted by treasonous @whitehouse staff and @nytimes reporters? @FBIWFO @NSAGov. Here's my view.
2. First, I track the sealed dockets in DC. There are a lot. I haven't checked the inventory but I'm guessing there are still a lot. They're not all 2016 Russian attack related but I'm betting some are. And once unsealed Trump can't dismiss them. Only the Art. III judges can
3. Second, IMO DC is the most surveilled city in the world. Foreign intelligence services work out of every embassy and the Russians are active and aggressive. So it would be hard to imagine that Russians SVR and GRU aren't watching court, its filings and the grand jury.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 20, 2018
1. When Russia attacked #Ukraine I saw it coming. Obama angered Putin by cruising two Naval war ships off of Sochi during Olympics. The soon to be grounded USS Taylor, an obsolete Perry frigate, and the command ship the USS White Plains. The @DeptofDefense has great weapons
2. but is completely unarmed when it comes to propaganda defense. I watched the Ukraine Maidan and saw that Russia was getting ready to invade. I did what I could to fight Russian propaganda but without competent @CIA @DefenseIntel capability the Russians just rolled into Ukraine
3. and are still there. We need to wall Russia out of our internet. The @NSAGov can put switches on each entry point for Russian packets. It will take time and there will be cracks but the blocking of all Russian internet traffic must be strategic goal of the US @DeptofDefense.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 19, 2018
1. In the absence of any US readout of the Trump Putin #HelsinkiSummit here is what Kommersant is reporting about three alleged proposals. Take with a grain of salt: kommersant.ru/doc/3689866 The translation seems odd.
2. "The first proposal is to create a high-level working group, in which businessmen from the United States and Russia should leave."

I don't get that. Make business leave each country? Perhaps a Russian speaker can assist. Here's the rest:
3. "The second is to create an expert council of political scientists, acting and former diplomats and former military men of the two countries. The third proposal is to hold meetings of the US National Security Council (SNB) and the Russian Security Council."
Read 4 tweets
Jul 12, 2018
1. I spotted Russians helping Trump early in 2016. Predicted Trump's behavior would trigger a FISA in May 2016. Nothing that I've seen has surprised me since. I'm expecting a lot more troubling revelations. Now with the GOP vote to put mole in DOJ it may be about to start.
2. Perhaps as a hedge, the two Houses of Congress just did a kumbaya moment with "we're not on team Kremlin" resolutions. This could be just window dressing but may alternatively mean they suspect something's coming. They may want a record to make them look less treasonous.
3. After the 2017 Susan Rice unmasking fiasco it appeared to me that the GOP was worried about 702 intercepts. The best explanation I could construct from the facts was that they knew Russian money had reached the GOP. The records showed it likely started in June 2016.
Read 18 tweets
Jun 23, 2018
1. This is a Plutonium Pit. It is the heart of most nuclear weapons. It is not a Gamma emitter so you can hold it in your hands. Warm to the touch. On the right is what it looks like inside its shell of high explosives used to trigger it. My metaphor for #N@zi hate. Plutonium pit
2. My estimate when Trump started was 15% of Americans were pure unadulterated bigots. N@zis. KKK, all of a kind. They are the Plutonium Pit of American politics. @realDonaldTrump is the shell of explosives that surrounds it. The trigger is held by his master @KremlinRussia_E.
3. But the single Pit is not enough to destroy America. It needs a surrounding secondary fuel that in H-Bombs is often a kind of water. Not H20. But special isotopes of Hydrogen ready to fuse when the Trigger gets them compressed in a hot rage of hate. That's the #GOP.
Read 13 tweets
Jun 10, 2018
1. Max: The @WhiteHouse is a nest of traitors getting daily marching orders from @KremlinRussia_E. Why are you having problems accepting that and just saying it openly? My guess Trump was recruited in late 1980s and Putin possibly a handler.
2. It explains the massive attempt to flood the news with claims the @FBIWFO are liars and corrupt. Trump knows the truth is being exposed and he and Putin's only hope is to groom US population for shocking revelations coming soon as a fantasy concocted by the deep state.
3. I was studying the Soviet deep state in 1986 with a purged full professor of Political Science from Moscow University who explained the methods to me in detail. This is a Soviet attack and they have taken the @WhiteHouse. Don't just sound puzzled: Sound the alarm.
Read 4 tweets

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