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WOW. #INSen poll: Donnelly (D-Inc) 51, Braun (R) 39

While we should be cautious of drawing conclusions from one poll, this cuts against the conventional wisdom that Donnelly is one of the more threatened D incumbents.…
We should not take our eyes off the ball in Indiana: remember, Evan Bayh led most of the polls around this time in 2016, too.

But it's worth noting, that was a really different race. An open seat in a presidential year vs a D incumbent in a midterm with an unpopular R president.
Here's another note. *If* this poll is accurate, and other polls confirm IN is shifting into the Lean D column, that means control of the Senate is now a coin toss.

That would mean each party is only defending 3 true toss-up seats. FL, MO and ND for Dems; AZ, NV and TN for GOP.
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NEW @CAPAction Memo: On Pre-Existing Condition Protections, Reconciling Rhetoric with Reality Proves Difficult for GOP Senate Candidates. #INSEN #WVSEN #MOSEN #AZSEN #NVSEN #FLSEN #NDSEN #TXSEN #PASEN #MTSEN
2/ GOP candidates are running for office saying that they support protections for people with pre-existing conditions, but lawsuits, administrative actions, and legislation supported by these candidates could lead to these individuals being denied coverage or charged more.
3/ Beyond lawsuits and votes that explicitly undermined these protections, candidates do not support pre-existing condition protections if they refuse to endorse the policy levers that make these protections possible: guaranteed issue, community rating, and EHBs.
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