Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #NoDeal

Most recents (12)

A few thoughts on today's #nodeal notices - as others have said, these are some of the really juicy ones...…

This is the first time, AFAIK, that the Government has accepted in such stark terms that no deal will mean:

- disruption to supply chains
- potential for no flights or bus services between UK and EU, and between UK and other countries (including flights to US)

- extra red tape, as businesses have to re-register their products/services in an EU country
- real problems at the border, particularly around Dover/Calais
- hassle for individuals (pet passports, motor insurance)

Read 8 tweets
001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
Read 180 tweets
Thread: "#Brexit & #Chequers, the sellout. Dump it, let's move on".
I keep hearing "Where is the plan?" and a load of misinformation on #Brexit, pushed on UK media by irrelevant & biased commentators, elevated simply because they are avid Remoaners.
They aim to distract.
We already knew from those tasked with the negotiations, there had been a definite direction of travel & #Brexit plans were well advanced, prior to #Chequers.

David Davis & his team had been constantly rebuffed by Number 10, as they tried to pursue a proper #Brexit plan, but they HAD been making progress.

Read 19 tweets
So, as you may have seen, the @UKandEU report on a #NoDeal Brexit is out today.… And whilst, obvs, most of you are already immersed in it, thought I'd attempt q quick summary for the lazy people (1)
We try to explain what No Deal means. There is a tendency to elide it with 'trading on WTO terms'. Which, of course, would be possible with a withdrawal agreement. We also make clear the crucial point that, unlike with most 'deals.' default outcome is not the status quo. (2)
We deliberately pick the worst case. Where we leave with no deal at all. Which, as we point out, we do not think is by any manner of means the most likely outcome. That being said, however, we argue that, in the event of a no deal, mitigations will be hard (3)
Read 25 tweets
"#OrganDonation is an altruistic act that should be celebrated..." (p6)

So why not do that, and devote more resources to making donation easier - an approach that has delivered measurable results - instead of a regressive move to #OrganHarvesting?…
Describing a *significantly narrowing* shortfall (cf. graph, also p6) in available organs is not a justification for a change to #OrganHarvesting; nor are emotive appeals. This reads like #PolicyBasedEvidenceMaking.
"We want... to change the culture around organ donation in this country in the longer term." (p7)

Stopping it being a gift, freely given, and instead the State 'deeming' you to have given permission will certainly change that! Presumption ain't 'donation' and will erode trust.
Read 20 tweets
@joelymack Here’s some data if it helps. U.K., that was at the top of the G7 prior to Brexit is now an outlier.
@joelymack 2/. ONS. Household expenditure now exceeds income. First time since 1988 Average £900 shortfall.

Not all households face the same budget pressures – the poorest 10% of households are most likely to spend more than they receive in income
@joelymack 3/. Q2 2018. Red Flag Research that monitors the financial health of UK companies, 472,183 businesses were experiencing ‘Significant’ financial distress at the end of June 2018, up 9% compared to the same stage last year (Q2 2017:).…
Read 18 tweets
Dear @MattHancock.

I’ve been trying to understand the WTO/No Deal scenario. For the NHS, there is no contingency plan for “No Deal” that won’t stop people dying.

Firstly, here is my attempt to understand WTO rules and what happens to us if we leave on no deal:

I’ll wait.
2/ The NHS, long before Brexit, from your govt & your mate Jeremy, is in poor shape.
- We don’t have enough staff (100,000 short total, 40,000 nurses, 10,000 doctors)
- we don’t have enough funding (~£26b)
- Demand continues to rise by 4% every year…
Read 15 tweets
1) Following the failure of any Kent MPs to support business friendly amendments for the Taxation (Cross Border Bill) over the past 2 days we feel the need to explain why VAT is such an important issue for small business.
2) To begin, you have to understand that the #SingleMarket is only a Single Market for countries who are members of it. Businesses from 3rd countries not only have to deal with the taxman in each country they do business with, but also in each country their goods flow through.
3) At present, a UK company selling goods to Germany or providing parts in a supply chain will usually truck these goods via the @Port_of_Dover and land them in Calais. Within the #SingleMarket this is easy as they just pass through France without involvement of the French taxman
Read 10 tweets
Key excperts on #NorthernIreland #irishborder
Island of Ireland will remain one epidemiological unit
Realise the importance of professionals working both sides of the border, or living in one territory and working in another
Read 10 tweets
Unite Members:

57% backed #PeoplesVote
24% leave voters backed #PeoplesVote

West Midlands car workers:
“Only now have voters started to see through the initial referendum campaigns and truly understand the implications & costs of leaving the EU."…
Unite union:

"open to the possibility of a vote on any deal the Tories come back with"

"members fears that the Tories' in-fighting and destructive red lines will bring ruin to their jobs and communities"

Unite Statement:…

Great speech by Julie Ward MEP on why she marched with #WomenForEurope for a #PeoplesVote

Women and the young will be the most affected by #Brexit

Read 50 tweets
Q Drops June 26, 2018

Q Drops can be found @

Q Proofs can be found @

It’s Begun! Good news to hear JA & SR mentioned tonight. Comey really pulled one on JA making it impossible for any kind of deal. Figures 😒


Review image/location.

Nothing provided is random.




Signal sent.

Attempt still made.


Do you believe it’s a coincidence extreme rhetoric is being pushed while at the same time [RR] is on the brink of collapse?


[RR] must either comply with all document demands or face impeachment.
Read 95 tweets
1. Once again, despite a better first year than Reagan, all kinds of Trump supporters are getting bent out of shape over things they hear are being "put on the table" in the immigration negotiations with the Democrats.

Let's talk about why you should Stay Calm.
2. Everyone who has no experience negotiating deals summed up by 100+ pages of legalese should pay attention. You can learn the most important rule of negotiating next:

"If you aren't willing to walk away with NO DEAL, you've already lost."

Where've you heard that before? 😀
3. Negotiating an immigration deal falls under that rule

One side has multiple choices they can offer (Trump) & the other side (Dems) already have deal breaker "minimums" their radical base is demanding.
(From outside of Schumer's house @ 3 AM)

Only Trump can walk away
Read 9 tweets

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